Sunday, 26 June 2016

5:55 Windsor Racing Tips (27th June) ANDREW AND CHRISTOPHER WEATHERBY MEMORIAL EBF STALLIONS MEDIAN AUCTION MDN FILLIES´ STKS (Plus 10) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

An EBF Fillies' Maiden (Plus 10) over 5f 10y on soft going. Just a small field of seven two-year-olds. Three have race experience. The betting suggests this is a three-horse race. Certainly, Paco's Angel set a fair level of ability after two creditable performances runner-up on both starts. This daughter of Paco Boy, a home-bred who went to the sales but withdrawn. This is the best juvenile of Richard Hughe's youngsters to have been seen so far and the majority of his other representative have looked disappointing. This bay filly ran well on debut at Bath when finishing second at 40/1 and then beaten by Mrs Danvers who although something of a surprise package has since won well at Stakes class and will be tested at pattern class sooner rather than later. This February foal is the horse to beat but there may be some opposition. 

A couple of these are well regarded by connections so it could be an interesting race. However, over the sprint distance they will need to be fit, ready and trained for the day. Windsor isn't the sort of course you can afford to be playing catch up and a slow start would make this a difficult task. 

Rosie Briar is a home-bred daughter of Mayson out of a poor mare who has the same owner/trainer combination. This chestnut filly hails from Andrew Balding's stable who can send out first time out winners. This horse has been entered for one or two decent races which suggest to me she is held in some regard. In addition, Balding has a fantastic strike rate with his two-year-olds at this course. 

Richard Hannon's stable doesn't seem the force of old with Richard Jnr taking over the reigns from this father who had the touch. Suffragette City is held in decent regard by the stable. This bay daughter of Dragon Pulse  is out of an unraced mare. She cost £80,000 at the yearling sales when purchased by Peter & Ross Doyle. Hannon's stable can be difficult to assess with debutantes as they chop and change their approach with different horses. 

Conclusion: It will take a fair two-year-old to beat Paco's Angel, this would be Hughe's second juvenile winner, which cannot sit very comfortably with him. I'd expect Kelly to set off at a brisk pace and hope the two major debutantes fluff their lines. If this race paid three places for each-way bets I would be tempted to back Rosie Briar. Balding has a brilliant strike rate here to a point I don't think they send inferior horses. That sort of selectivity is worth noting. Suffragette City could well prove a tough juvenile and she has been showing ability on the gallops. With only two places, I would have to take  a watching brief.