Thursday, 21 July 2016

2:00 Sandown 2YO Racing Tips (21st July) IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Fillies Stakes over 5f on good going. A fair line up of nine runners for the prize money and most will be hoping to get their hands on the Plus 10. 

Blue Suede has run well on each of her starts for Richard Hannon. This daughter of Requinto finished runner-up to Mrs Danvers who won the Super Sprint. A wide draw isn't ideal over this minimum trip which tempers enthusiasm.

William Haggas field Her Terms who made her debut in a hot race at Ascot and then headed last stride at Lingfield when weather conditions made this a very difficult race to assess as there was no TV coverage. However, this daughter of Pivotal is held in some regard by connections illustrated by an entry for the Lowther Stakes Group 2. Dropping back a furlong but looks the type to go well. 

Night Law was backed as though defeat was out of the question at Chepstow in her second start but finished only fourth at 4/7f. This daughter of Lawman races in the familiar silks of George Strawbridge. On the face of it, that looked a poor effort and she was never really travelling after a slow start. Time may tell that was a better race than it looked. I wouldn't give up on this bay filly although I would take a watching brief. 

There is a big question mark over Zumran. Hugo Palmer has done well this season with his two-year-olds and the betting usually, tells the story. This 45,000G yearling purchase was sent off favourite on debut but always had a task after a slow start. She ran on well enough the finish seventh. This daughter of Rock Of Gibraltar was made favourite for her next start at Pontefract and never looked good. There must have been an issue that day because she trailed home a distant last and not been seen since April. The betting will most likely tell the story and if strong in the market it would, once again, a signal that connections feel she has something to offer. I must admit, I didn't like the look of this horse physically. Time off course may reveal a bigger, stronger filly but this March foal looked weak. I wouldn't bet on this horse and definitely a watching brief. 

Clive Cox is a talented trainer and his two-year-olds are often primed for their debut. Dark Room Angel is a daughter of Dark Angel and bought by the vendor for 31,000G. Sandown, over the minimum trip, can be a difficult place for juveniles to start their career but a horse to respect. If backed to 13/2 & less SP it would improve her chances of hitting the frame.  

William Muir is sending out a few of his two-year-olds of late and Heart Of Gold is a home-bred daughter of Kyllachy for owner/breeders Carmel Stud. It would give greater confidence if backed but a stable I generally associate with juveniles needing their first run. They can defy those stats but money is usually a fruitful indicator.     

Jeremy Gask doesn't have many two-year-olds in his string but a trainer worthy of note. Dashing Poet is a daughter of Poet's Voice and 45,000G yearling purchase. It is worth noting this bay filly has recently been entered for a stakes race which could indicate ability. A wide draw isn't ideal but she isn't on the wing and at 25/1 could be a surprise package. It will be a tough race but may show a glimmer at odds and potentially, perhaps, an each-way chance.   

Halinka may be a better proposition when given a handicap mark. 

Newz Watch ran in a hot Yarmouth maiden and a little too keen for her own good. Best watched.  

Conclusion: A tricky old race. The likes of Zumran & Night Law may be best watched after disappointments. The latter may have simply found a few fair opponents but I would definitely take a watching brief on Zumran. Blue Suede has claims but a wide draw does temper enthusiasm. Her Terms will go well. She was a narrow loser last time out and I know connection hold her in some regards. The Dark Room would have an improved chance if priced 13/2 & less SP. If outside this betting guide I would take a watching brief. Dashing Poet may have each-way claims at a big price.