Tuesday, 13 September 2016

2:20 Yarmouth Racing Tips (13th Sept) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) over 6f  3y on good to firm going.  

Bouquet De Flores has been a short-priced favourite on both starts to date and ran with credit when third at Goodwood. That contest had very good prize money and this daughter of Street Cry is held in some regard by Godolphin. She has shown ability but I can't help thinking connections expected more. However, this will be a good chance to taste glory. 

Always Thankful is worthy of note for Ismail Mohammed. She cost 220,000G at the breeze-up sales. This talented trainer can deliver debut winners and although a tall order the price tag could detail a horse of interest for the future if not for today.

Simon Dow has a decent juvenile on his hands with Chica De La Noche. This daughter of Teofilo cost 62,000G at the yearling sales. She hasn't had any luck. I had a bet to win many thousand when her saddle slipped at Newbury when looking like winning. It was a disappointing day for many supporters. At Chelmsford City this bay filly ran well after drifting markedly in the betting. It didn't put me off. However, being pipped at the post by a talented Simon Crisford debutante didn't make my day. It was compounded as I didn't put a bet up in-running and she touched 1.03 of something fantastically short. Dread. I won something on the place, which I put up in running at 1.01 just to and to my frustration (why didn't I do the same on the win bet as it would have won me several hundred). She is priced 14/1 at the moment but I would rule out another bold show. This looks a tough race but she is no slouch. 

Yarmouth will feel homely for Textured who raced here last time out when pipped by her stablemate Exmouth who is held in high regard. This daughter of Dark Angel must have needed the run on debut, starting at big odds and finishing down the field. In truth, I think the winner was a class apart although being ring rusty made it look hard work for most of the way.    

Simon Crisford has been inspired this season and trains selective, talented juveniles. Muthmira was made favourite on debut when finishing third but had little luck second start when heavily backed at Ascot. This chestnut daughter of Arcano found herself stuck behind a wall of horses and literally gave up the ghost when entering the final furlong. It is difficult to assess what this breeze-up purchase is truly capable of but to be made such a short favourite last start suggests she has ample ability.

William Haggas has a strong yard of two-year-olds. Gheedaa is a homebred daughter of Tamayuz. The betting will be the best guide. I would definitely let the betting settle before taking the plunge. It will take a fair horse to beat these experienced juveniles and I would take a watching brief. Although if priced 13/2 &  less SP has each-way claims.

Cool Breeze, Dandy Walk & Diamond Bear are best watched.  

Conclusion: A competitive heat and a few of these will be hoping to put the Plus £10,000 in their pocket. The betting will be the best guide for Gheedaa. Textured could be ok but I do feel other will be better. Bouquet De Flores showed ability last start and that was a pretty hot race. I am pretty sure Godolphin like this filly and this does look lesser class. Muthmira has a similar profile, although disappointed last start but that effort is best forgotten. She hasn't got a string of lofty entries but the betting on both starts details that she has ample ability. Chica De La Noche has been the epitome of bad luck but she is a fair juvenile who will run well. Being trained by a less fashionable handler and looking a bit exposed she may well hold each-way claims especially if drifting to big odds. If touching 20/1+ (will be bigger on Betfair) she could out down a challenge.