Friday, 14 October 2016

2:00 Haydock 2YO Racing Tips (14th Oct) DAVID SMITH TRAVEL MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A long day so I will try to keep this to the basics. Never happens. I'm  running on fumes. Petrol. Whisky. Absinthe.... A lethal concoction if I every tasted one. Please don't take this stuff with paracetamol!  

So what's of interest? You night ask. A big old field but we will focus on the major contenders to the point where my energy gives out.

A field of thirteen fillies. Six furlongs. Plus 10. Good going. 

Queen Of Time is interesting. Henry Candy has been quiet this season with his two-year-olds, which slightly tempers my enthusiasm. However, there is always a very good reason why I say everything. This Irish-bred daughter of Harbour Watch has fair each-way claims unless she is exceptionally weak in the betting. 

Eartha Kitt is definitely one to fear. Tom Dascombe holds this home-bred daughter of Pivotal in some regard and she comes from a talented mare. Ceiling Kitty won at Royal Ascot. Chasemore Farm owns and bred this February foal. She was well backed on debut over course and distance when just half a length behind Moonlit Show who has since won again at Listed class in Ireland. She was praised by her trainer, Charlie Fellow, and quoted as a horse going places. Eartha Kitt is a tough nut to crack. If available at each-way prices, I'd be surprised if she didn't go very well indeed. 

As the season comes to a close, John Gosden has been sending out lots of debutantes. Cashla Bay is a daughter of Fastnet Rock. A costly yearling purchase at 220,000G. She is out of a Group 3 winning sprint mare who wasn't disgraced when competing at Group 1. The stable have respectable win and place claims with debutantes priced 13/2 & less SP. Interesting.

Bombay Dream ran well enough on debut when unfancied in the betting. If backed to 13/2 & less SP would figure. Best watched if outside this betting guide.

Peter Chapple-Hyam fields Classical Times, which races in the familiar silks of Alan Belshaw. This daughter of Lawman is out of a talented mare who was similarly owned and trained. Sunday Times finished runner-up in the Cheveley Park Stakes Group 1 at odds of 33/1 and proved victorious at Group 3 with the highest official rating of 109. If this filly has the ability, no trainer can ready a debutant like Chapple-Hyam. The betting is key. If priced 13/2 & less SP would hold fair each-way claims. 

Conclusion: I would consider both Ertha Kitt and Queen Of Time will run big races. Tom Dascombe's horse looks a hard nut to crack. In fact, the more I think about this filly the more I fear her in opposition to the above mentioned. If Eartha Kitt drifts to an each-way price, I wouldn't knock anyone betting. She should hit the frame if not win. Henry Candy's filly has decent each-way claims, although may have something to prove on form. Statistically, she looks a fair type. Cashla Bay is an expensive buy. She could be a thorn in my side if a talent. As detailed, the betting should be the key to her chances. Classical Times is another who if backed should make her presence felt.