Thursday, 27 October 2016

5:40 Chelmsford Racing Tips (27th Oct) BET TOTEPLACEPOT AT BETFRED.COM MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

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A Maiden Stakes over 6f on standard going. Five two-year-olds have race experience contesting three debutantes. 

Richard Fahey has the jolly The Feathered Nest who was a beaten favourite at York on debut when third behind Carlton Frankie. This daughter of Dragon Pulse ran well enough and most likely fit and ready to roll that day. The prize money was decent and this bay filly must have headed to the course with some expectation if not being held in some regard. 

Ascot Day is interesting. David Simcock's son of Khelyfe was relatively fancied on debut at Newcastle when up with the lead, hampered and not recovered in the closing stage when finishing fourth but not beaten far. The third, Chipping, has come out since and won with some heart. This bay colt should improve for that initial start and has each-way claims. 

Tim Vaughan hasn't, to my knowledge, fielded any juveniles this season although a talented trainer. Termnconditions is a son of Kodiac and owned by the trainer. This colt was purchased at the yearling sales for 88,000E. Connections clearly had their eye on selling this youngster at the breeze-up sales. He was withdrawn from the sales in April, not sold in June for £28,000, then withdrawn once more in July. Unless seriously backed, I'd take a watching brief.      

It will be two weeks to the day since Tom Dascombe sent Dream Reversion to Redcar where this son of Oasis Dream finished a creditable third over 6f on good to soft going. Owned by John Dance, this bay colt was originally purchased at the yearling sales for  75,000G but bought later at the breeze-up sales by Salcey Forest Stud for £40,000. He was obviously sold on to Dance. Dream Reversion wasn't fancied on his debut but better was seen last time out although the form is probably no more than average.  

Mark Johnston has a homebred daughter of Tamayuz making her debut for Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum. The mare, sired by Storm Cat, showed little on two starts. The betting suggests Mockery won't be at the forefront of the market but the stable's juveniles can win at bigger odds than most would appreciate. However, I would need the money to come for this February foal to bet,

I always find Richard Hannon a difficult trainer to assess. Habbad is a chestnut son of Choisir cost 180,000E when purchased at the breeze-up sales by Peter & Ross Doyle Bloodstock. He made his debut earlier this month when relatively fancied in the betting at 10/1. That looked a fair maiden and this chestnut colt showed good pace until tiring in the final furlong. If that was down to a lack of fitness, you would have to hold some hope. Certainly, the cost of this two-year-old caught the eye in what seems a pretty normal maiden.  

Saeed bin Suroor is a class trainer and capable of sending out a debut winner. Sunlit Forest is an American-bred daughter of Bernardini out of a talented mare [Game Face] who made her debut at three racing at Gulfstream Park when winning at Grade 2. She won six times including a victory at Grade 1. Total prize earning of more than £460,000. Could be anything.  

Embelton is best watched. 


Conclusion: An intriguing race in its own way. Each-way backers will be praying this remains an eight-runner race! What's the betting one of these makes an exit at the roundabout? Fingers crossed it doesn't happen. The Feathered Nest was strongly fancied on debut and ran well. She should be in the mix. Ascot Day is of interest. He didn't have much luck on debut and should be fitter and wiser this second start. I would give him sound each-way claims and hope this doesn't turn from three places to two if a non-runner arises. You could always bet late if fearful but then you may lose the price. Habbad cost a pretty penny and showed promise on debut. I can see this son of Choisir going well. Sunlit Forest is well bred. Saeed bin Suroor is a master at work. Could be a talent. Four horse of interest but I would hope Ascot Day can hit the frame.