Wednesday, 23 November 2016

1:30 Wolverhampton 2YO Racing Tips (23rd Nov) 32RED CASINO MAIDEN STAKES (Div I) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

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A few days without much two-year-old race action. Five maidens today, bulked up from the original, with two split into divisions. 

I will take a quick look and see if there is anything of interest:

1:30 Wolverhampton - 

The betting suggests this is out of four horses at best. Ghand showed limited ability on  his debut and will need a transformation. Sir Michael Stoute's charge may have claims if 13/2 & less SP. Looks unlikely. 

American History has been fancied on both starts to date. This son of High Chaparral was even money last start over course and distance when sixth. Gosden has applied the cheek pieces to bolster this juveniles claims. A wide draw isn't ideal although enough distance to separate the wheat from the chaff. Connections will be hoping this 135,000G breeze-up purchase can do a little better. 

Marco Botti has been in flying form this late season and Zumurudee has been well found in the betting on both his two starts to date. This bay son of Stormy Atlantic has enough ability to win a race although perhaps priced to chance at a shade of odds-on. Mark Johnston fields one of two debutantes a filly called Shee's Lucky. This American homebred, sired by Yourgunnabelucky, has a prime draw in stall one but may need to have a fair level of ability to win this at the first time of asking. I would imagine this is out of Zumurdee and American History.

2:05 Wolverhampton -  

John Gosden often goes well with his fancied debutantes and if Oxford Thinking is priced 5/2 & less is worthy of note. A 210,000E yearling purchase. 

Jive Talking has been well supported on each of her three starts and may well make a viable each-way alternative if priced allow.

5:25 Kempton - 

Peter Chapple-Hyam has quite an expensive breeze-up purchase going here in the shape of Fivetwoeight who cost 155,000E. This son of Kyllachy is worth noting if priced 13/2 & less SP. The stable can ready a juvenile better than most stables although they don't have the numbers of old. 

Interested to see how Four Candles goes here as I tipped this gelding to win last time out at Chelmsford. I'm sure connections expected a big run that day but this Irish-bred son of Lilbourne Lad never looked happy and struggled to go the pace. That race was at auction class which is a step down on this grade, which means there must be plenty of improvement. McBride has a 5lb apprentice riding which is a help but does it suggest this horse needs all the help it can get? At odds of 20/1, a few punters may bet and just hope his last start was a major disappointment. There needs to be an excuse because this looks a tougher race. There was good reason to expect a bold show last start which didn't materialise so there could be hope. I wasn't impressed in ways. I think you will know your fate early if betting. If struggling for pace in the early stages it will be hard work to get involved.

5:55 Kempton - 

Division II of this EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f. The betting suggests this is a three-horse race. Marco Botti's Al Reeh has run well on all three starts to date. This son of Invincible Spirit has been a short price beaten favourite the last twice but defeated by decent horses. Connections will be expecting a bold show. 

Amanda Perrett doesn't have a very big string of two-year-olds and Saluti may have been a surprise on debut when finishing third at odds of 50/1. This son of Acclamation traveled well until tiring in the closing stages in what looked a fair race. The stable have decent each-way claims with juveniles fancied on their second start so could hit the frame. 

James Fanshawe is a talented trainer. I like his juveniles on their second start. Enfolding was relatively fancied on debut but needed the race. He cost 110,000G at the yearling sales in the familiar Ban CM Wong silks. This gelding hasn't been seen since July so a few question marks. A wide draw is not ideal especially if tardy from  the stalls as seen on debut. However, if priced 13/2 & less SP could go well. If weak in the betting, I would take a watching brief.