Sunday, 4 March 2018

2:45 Southwell Racing Tips (4th March)

Karl Burke - Ontoawinner
A Maiden Stakes over 1m on Standard going.

Nine horses in the race for 3yo+. 

The betting suggests there are five major contenders. Dawn Dancer looks a fair type to lose his maiden at the fourth time of asking. 

Readers will know I am a fan of Karl Burke. Stay In The Light was made joint favourite on debut at the end of February.This British-bred daughter of Showcasing was a cheap foal at just 8,000G. Connections must have expected more over 7f at Wolverhampton but thing didn't go to plan and she trailed home last of eight. A more effort by all accounts. 

Horse can disappoint on debut and return transformed on their second start.

I would keep an eye on the betting. If fancied, I would give this filly the benefit of the doubt and consider she holds fair each-way claims. You may wish to bet on the favourite and Stay In The Light as two singles. 

Interesting to see how Balding and Burke's horses go in a winnable race.