Tuesday, 26 July 2016

1:50 Yarmouth Racing Tips (26th July) GREAT YARMOUTH RACECOURSE AUGUST LIVE NIGHTS MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 6) (2yo)

Ontoawinner Syndicate
A restricted race type.  An auction race over 7f 3y on good to firm going. Nine two-year-olds take part: six with race experience. 

I will be at Great Yarmouth racing tomorrow. 

Interesting to see how a few of these juveniles go. These restricted race types usually go to horses with form. One or two of these have real chances.

Elements Legacy is a bonny colt who is progressing with racing for Ontoawinner racing syndicate. This team needs no introduction with a vast string of outstanding horses in their ownership including Group 1 superstar Quiet Reflection. Take a moment to see their website here

Interesting to see Julia Feilden is finding success this season with breeze-up buys. Pitch High was purchased by the trainer at Tattersall's for 12,000G. This son of Requinto ran well on debut, coming off the pace and hitting the front only to tire in the closing stages. This gelding has raced over this distance and could well improve for that first start. Their juveniles are often big prices so it is difficult to assess whether the 25/1 odds indicated needed the race or primed. Although it is difficult to assess the form there was a lot to like about that performance and connection are most likely coming here with some confidence.

George Baker does quite well when sending juveniles here and Drop Kick Murphi wasn't disgraced when eighth of sixteen behind the potentially smart Parsnip over 6f at Chepstow. This son of Sir Prancealot is a relative cheap breeze-up purchase at just £5,000. The stable's juveniles often improve a good deal for their first run and a step up in distance will benefit. The betting is the key here. If priced 13/2 & less SP I would take note and expect a big run. If weak in the betting best watched. 

Another trainer who does well here is Rae Guest. He is an exceptional trainer and if his two-year-olds have the ability they often win. Chiconomic is an Irish-bred daughter of Clodovil out of an unraced mare. This April foal cost 5,00G at the yearling sales. The betting is paramount for this bay fillies chances. If priced 10/1 & less SP I would take note. However, I find that their juveniles either win or are unplaced so if betting I would go for the straight win rather than each way. If weak in the market, best watched.  

Chris Wall doesn't have many two-year-olds in his string but he is an excellent trainer and loves Great Yarmouth. Marilyn should take all the beating. Even at short odds, I would be very fearful of this chestnut filly. She is a homebred for  Lady Juliet Tadgell but sent through the sales ring  without a bid. That was a master move because it means she is legible for these restricted race types rather than maidens alone. To be fair, this daughter of Sixties Icon out of a poor mare doesn't need too much help to win a race or two. She was 28/1 on debut at this course and finished with verve. This extra furlong is sure to benefit. The form of that debut has been franked and it was a novice stakes, so this is a marked drop in class. A tough horse to beat. If betting eacway I'd be tempted to have a win bet on this and another fancy becasue it could well prove a stronger bet than an each bet alone. 

Robyn Brisland can sometimes pop up with a decent debutante so Masonic should be respected at big odds. 

As should Lydia Pearce's Bartholomew J. This son of Fast Company cost just £5,000.

Roman Legion has shown ability for Dean Ivory. This bay colt has not been far away in all three starts and if appreciating this step up in distance could have claims.

Apple Scruffs needs to come back from a disappointing effort last time out.

Conclusion: By race type, this is a very restricted contest. This generally favours horses with form and Marilyn stands out from the crowd. Chris Wall does well at this course and his juveniles usually improve a good deal for their first start. This extra furlong will suit and although short odds should take a lot of beating. Pitch High ran well on debut and I can imagine Julia Feilden will be coming here full of confidence. If available at each way odds worth a bet although I would bet one the favourite as a worthy cover bet if you fancy something else. The betting is key for Drop Kick Murphi and Chiconomic. If priced 13/2 & less SP this race could turn out more competitive than it looks. If in this betting guide both have sound claims. Strangely they are better win bets than each-way wagers. A fascinating race.