Thursday, 25 August 2016

2:10 Leicester Racing Tips (25th Aug) GLEBE MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 7f on good to firm going. Nine two-year-olds take part. Six have race experience and three debutantes from a mix of trainers.

Quite an interesting betting heat. Check out horse racing odds on special markets including top jockeys, special distance and etc.  

Sidewinder is trained by Tom Dascombe and raced four times showing a fair level of ability for this restricted race type. This bay gelding went close to closing his maiden status when running on with purpose on debut at Pontefract over the minimum trip. This son of Majestic Missile has raced over six and seven furlongs these last three efforts running respectably although struggling last time out when attempting a nursery for the first time when a disappointing favourite. Whether that was due to heavy going is a matter of opinion although The Sidewinder Partnership may start to threat if this is another disappointing display. There is always a concern that after a few hard races a horse may sour.

Peter Chapple-Hyam is a trainer of note but sadly seems to have fewer and fewer two-year-olds in his string. Charlie Rascal is a son of My Boy Charlie ran in a competitive maiden on debut at Doncaster. For an auction race that was a pretty hot contest with the winner, Western Duke, capable of better things. Charlie Rascal showed good pace that day before tiring into seventh place. He was relatively weak in the betting at 20/1 which could have been a consequence of needing the race or simply unfancied. Generally, Chapple-Hyam's debutantes would be stronger in the betting so there was some reason: lack of fitness, limited ability or perhaps priced to chance. In the context of this race, it wasn't a bad performance to be beaten less than six lengths. The betting is important. If priced 13/2 & less SP would hold fair win and place claims. If outside this betting guide I would take a watching brief. 

Prince Of Clappers run in the same race and finished last. A cheap yearling purchase at just 6,500G. Best watched.

George Margarson does well with John Guest's two-year-olds although Daring Guest wasn't fancied on debut at Sandown when made 50/1. This son of Fast Company finished mid-field beaten twelve lengths. He cost 47,000E as a foal then sold for 25,000G at the yearling sales. Much more is needed. If substantially backed, it would bring hope. Best watched unless there is significant money.

Brian Meehan has not had a vintage season with his two-year-olds to date and Young Officer was made 50/1 on debut a Newbury. That was an EBF Maiden but finishing last of thirteen doesn't inspire. This drop in grade will help but a horse I would rather learn a little more about.  

William Muir fields Master Billie. This chestnut son of Mastercraftsman cost 26,000G when purchased at the yearling sales by the trainer. I often associate Muir with sending some of his better juveniles to Leicester although he has a poor strike rate with his debutantes and only the superstars prevail. If this youngster is beyond the norm, he will be substantially backed. Unless a marked move in the markets I would imagine better will be seen in his second start.

James Tate is a very good trainer and I respect his debutantes, who, surprisingly, can go well at big odds. Ocean Air won't be starting at fancy prices today and around 5/1 in the betting at present. Racing in the familiar silks of Saeed Manana, an owner who may have huge wealth but not afraid to buy cheap purchases, which often go well. This son of Rio De La Plata cost 26,000G at the yearling sales. A horse to respect.

Another trainer who is under-represented is Will Jarvis. He has a small string of two-year-olds but can go well with his debutantes. Aqshion Stations is a son of Aqlaam out of a three-time winning mare that won at Listed class and achieved the highest official rating of 100. He looks a good buy at just 11,000G. If priced 13/2 & less SP I would expect a bold show. Interesting jockey booking with Silvestre De Sousa. 

The only filly in the field, which could be a slight negative. Claire's Secret is a chestnut daughter of Sakhee's Secret who ran at Newmarket on debut in a fillies'maiden when one of the outsiders in the betting at 25/1. She wasn't disgraced in seventh although never troubling the leaders giving the impression the race was needed and this extra furlong will be appreciated. Philip McBride is a talented trainer who often has his juveniles primed to go well the second start. One for the shortlist.

Conclusion: A restricted race type which often favours horses with experience. The favourite has claims at best although needs to come back after a disappointment. The betting will be key for Charlie Rascal & Aqshion Stations. Both have claims if priced 13/2 & less. Ocean Air is worthy of respect. Claire's Secret looks to hold each-way claims.