Friday 6 May 2016

5:10 Nottingham (6th May) RACINGUK.COM FILLIES´ NOVICE MEDIAN AUCTION STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A big old field of two-year-olds for this Median Auction Stakes over 5f 13y on good going. Fifteen fillies declared to run. Eight have racecourse experience. I'm feeling tired after a long day so I will just highlight a few horses.

Black Redstart - named after a bird if there are any twitchers reading. Alan Bailey is a canny stick and this filly didn't cost much. She is sparely made but a battling type who knuckled down well at Chelmsford City. The type to give it a good go but may find one or two better. Place claims because she tries.

Marco Botti's Magical Forest has each-way claims if priced 10/1 & less SP. If weak in the betting, best watched.

Rapacity Alexander was fancied to run a big race on debut but had the misfortune of bumping into Chupalla and Stormy Clouds. This daughter of Danny Man cost 90,000G. David Evans is a calculated trainer and connection seem selective with their two-year-olds. She has a good cruising pace and in this restricted race type has to go there about. Most of the stable's second starters win when priced 7/2 & less SP. 

Kristin Stubbs doesn't have many two-year-olds in her string but she knows the score. Linda & Ron Stubbs always put me in the mind of talented trainers [Kristin's parent] and Roy's Dream could have each-way claims at speculative odds. This bay filly was nibbled at in the betting and after a tardy start was always on the back foot. However, this January foal did run on in the closing stages leaving the impression she could do better. The form of that first race is difficult to assess although a few have not been disgraced. If you fancy a speculative punt at mega odds this juvenile may hit the frame.

Shadow Wing was made favourite on debut at Ripon but race too keenly. The betting is important here and if priced 13/2 & less has each-way claims. 

Cheveley Park Stud always catch the eye and they go well with Richard Fahey. Spin Doctor is a homebred out of a debut-winning mare. He's a cracking trainer with debutantes and definitely a horse for the short list.

Zaatar is trained by Mick Channon for Box 41. Very few of the stable's debutantes win when price over 8/1 but should be respected if fancied in the betting. 

Conclusion: A big field and probably a few making their racecourse bow and in need of the run. The betting is the best guide for most, hence the betting guides (I do actually detail these things to help). Main contenders: Black Redstart battles hard but may have to settle for a place at best unless these fall flat. Rapacity Alexander is no superstar but fast enough to hold a handy position and connections will be expecting her to go close and holds respectable each-ways claims although they are better when priced 7/2 & less SP which kind of hinders that point. The betting is the best guide for Shadow Wing. If backed to 13/2 & less SP has sound each-way claims and I would think if strongly fancied Dascombe has confidence in a big run. Spin Doctor deserves respect with top-flight connections and quality debut trainer. Roy's Dream is something of a shot in the dark but definitely better than seen last time out. The stable often go well with their two-year-olds second start which gives some hope. At huge odds, Stubbs' filly may hit the frame.