Monday 1 May 2017

1:55 Beverley Racing Tips (1st May) Novice Median Auction Stakes (Div I) (Class 6) (2yo)

I will be giving a few more updates here so that means the good people in this world will actually get them for free.

Three two-year-old races to consider. I will simple detail the most basic of basic thoughts. 

1:55 Beverley - Median Auction Stakes. These usually go to form horses. Hot Rock got a slow start on debut but ran on well. He looked fit and well, given a few slaps of the whip. I think connections expected a big run that day over course and distance but the start finished them. 

Poet's Dawn was a head behind Bryan Smart's charge and not without hope. He was relatively fancied in the betting and another who didn't have the best start and capable of better.

Noble Manners will be hard to beat. She's a big lump of a horse and didn't have a clue what was happening on debut at Newmarket. That is a good course for Mark Johnston to send his horses and I imagine they expected a bold show. She did well to get competitive because this daughter of Myboycharlie was very slow in her early paces and gave away a number of lengths. If a more professional performance is seen today I'd consider this sizeable filly the one to beat

Michael Dod's is a capable trainer and his debutantes often hit the frame at fancy odds on their racecourse bow. Time Trail could do just that.

Conclusion: Early two-year-old races can be tricky to assess. Noble Manners is a big filly who will improve markedly on that first start. The price is rather restrictive but should go well. This grade of race is usually won by a horse with experience. Hot Rock would have fair each-way claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. Similarly, Poet's Dawn may have claims. I would expect the favourite to go well but Hot Rock is worthy of a small each-way bet is in its best betting guide. Alternatively, bet on the favourite and Hot Rock (must be 13/2 & less SP).