Monday 24 July 2017

1:55 Ayr 2yo Racing Tips (24th July)

A Novice Stakes race over 6f on good going. 

Nine two-year-olds take part: six have racecourse experience and three debutantes. Five horses feature in the betting and make most appeal. An interesting mix of top-class trainers and leading owners including Cheveley Park Stud. 

The betting suggests this is something of a trappy affair.  

Regulator hails from Richard Fahey's stable in the ownership of Cheveley Park Stud. This bay colt is a son of Acclamation and 105,000G 2yo breeze-up purchase. He made his debut at Beverley over 5f. That looked a pretty stiff race. A few horses, including the winner, will make their presence felt including Savalas, Albert Street & Bath And Tennis. Regulator was relatively fancied that day and ran a sterling race considering he was green, pushed along and encountered trouble in running. The victor, Ghayadh, wasn't disgraced second start when stepping up in distance and burdened with a penalty. Regulator will appreciate this extra furlong and likely to improve for that first start. Considering that effort looks up to winning standard, this second start should see an improved performance. 

Michael Dods has been in good form this season with a number of two-year-olds winning. Rossall raced just over a couple of weeks back at Beverley over 5f. This February foal was made favourite that day. This son of Mayson races in the familiar silks of David Armstrong. Rossall was unlucky that day and it is most likely a significant sign he went off the favourite. This step up in distance will be to his liking and a major player especially if starting at the head of the betting. 

Kevin Ryan fields the once-raced Jungle Room. This American-bred son of Violence cost 210,000G when purchased at two this April. He started his career racing at Doncaster over six and a half furlongs. Pretty fancied in the betting, Jamie Spencer was in the saddle. A slow start scuppered his chance although not disgraced when beaten just over eight lengths behind Wasim who made a bold fist of things when racing on his second start carrying a penalty. The form of Jungle Room's debut is respectable. In many respects, that first effort is probably best forgotten or used a s a basic guide to what may be seen today. I would expect a professional performance. 

Tough Remedy is a capable colt. Sired by Tough As Nails, he was a bargain buy at just £13,000. He went close to winning on debut when unfancied in the betting. He frustrated jockey and backers second start at Hamilton when running on all too late after being a fraction outpaced and finding trouble in running. Racing over 5f proved his Achilles Heel when made favourite at Carlisle. The form of that race is fair but punters were pulling their hair out as once more the insufficient trip gave little hope of victory. Keith Dalgleish has finally relented and taking this extra furlong will be the making of this horse. He holds claims although this could be a stiffer contest. 

Mark Johnston has Indian Admiral making his debut in the ownership of Abdulla Al Mansoori. This chestnut son of Sepoy cost 55,000G when purchased at the yearling sale. Kingsley House Stables are perennially in form although this is a hot race to start his career. I am often quoted as saying Jonhston's debutante are either easy winners or poor losers. I find the stable difficult to call with horses making their racecourse bow unless starting very short odds. An interesting horse to add to the mix but he will need to be smart to win this at the first time of asking.

Conclusion: Four major hopes and Johnston's colt which may or may not fly. Regulator, Rossall & Jungle Room hold claims on basic statistics. In some respects, all didn't go well for them on debut. Regulator will go well and the most likely. Jungle Room cost a lot of money and I'm sure much better will be expected and seen today. Tough Remedy has finally got a decent chance with this step up to 6f. In truth, he is unlucky not to have won. It might be sod's law that he finds this a hot contest. I would be looking for the each-way bet if anything here rather than going in at short odds. It could turn out to be a hard race to win.