Tuesday 7 November 2017

Tuesday's Racing Tips (7th November)

A busy evening so I will simply detail a few hopes:

1:10 Wolverhampton - 

Paul Cole is an able trainer. He hasn't had a great number of juveniles this season but always worthy of note when they make their second start. Towelrads Boy wasn't fancied on debut at Leicester over 6f on good to soft going. I was quite impressed by the physique of this American-bred son of Red Jazz. A strong-looking colt with powerful hindquarters. A sturdy bay who I suspect was sent out for a run. Certainly looks a wise purchase at just £20,000. In truth, it was a fair maiden. Towelrads Boy was up with the pace and tired in the closing staged. Interesting to see this horse is dropped back in distance. He showed fair pace on debut but it is worth noting there is a marked difference between the pace of five and six furlongs. It isn't beyond the realms his April foal could be outpaced. Whether this is a wise move or not only time will tell. However, I would consider the trainer knows best and especially on this second start as Cole places his two-year-olds to go well. I would be tempted to watch the betting and only back this horse if priced 13/2 & less SP. You could always bet at 10/1 (price at the time of writing) in hope of anticipating a gamble but you may regret that idea if very weak in the market. 

Conclusion: Not the easiest of horses to assess and the reason why best to take care with this horse's betting guide.  The major reason for consideration: a good-looking colt, trainer record with juveniles on the second start & (hopefully) backed to 13/2 & less SP. Could be a worthy each-way bet if so.

5:15 Kempton - 

Saeed bin Suroor must feel like the poor relation to Charlie Appleby this season. A real lack of quality juveniles in his string has made life difficult. A consequence, the level of his two-year-olds has fallen. Racing Country is a home-bred son of Dubawi who made his debut at Goodwood over one mile. This strong-looking juvenile wasn't fancied in a small field but it does give some confidence starting his career at a grade 1 course. This February foal showed up well for a long way before tiring in the closing furlong, which suggests this drop in distance will give added vim. Bin Suroor gave this juvenile a group entry which adds to confidence. Looks to hold each-way chances.  

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