Wednesday 20 December 2017

4:40 Kempton Racing Tips (20th December)

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on Standard going. 

Fourteen two-year-olds take part on this turning course. A number of leading trainers with lightly-raced juveniles. I will take a look at one horse here although I am doubtful it will figure strongly enough in the betting to be considered as a betting opportunity.

George Baker hasn't shone with his two-year-olds this season but a very capable trainer when given a horse with ability. He is a handler who can go particularly well with juveniles making their second start. 

La Maquina is a bay colt, sired by Dutch Art, and 52,000G yearling. In the ownership of Pjl, Pittam & Baker. Interesting that the trainer kept a share in this youngster. 

This April foal made his debut over course and distance back in November. This 20-1 shot had a wide draw and a slow start hampered the chances of this horse. La Maquina then took a keen hold, restrained, pushed along over 2f out. He stayed on encouragingly in the closing stages to finish third beaten less than four lengths. 

By all accounts, it was a promising start. 

Conclusion: This doesn't look the easiest race to win with a number of high-profile trainers. The betting may eliminate one or two so I would let the market settle before jumping in.La Maquina may hold claims but the market is the best assessment. A wide draw isn't a good starting point. He should distinct signs of inexperience on debut to a point that may be a problem today. I would only consider this colt if priced 13/2 & less SP. If, outside this betting guide, I'd take a watching brief. In addition, these type of horses either seem to win or finish unplaced. So we have a few scenarios going on here. If fancied in the betting, I'd have a small win bet. I get the feeling this horse will be weak in the betting but time will tell.