Monday 6 August 2018

6:00 Windsor Racing Tips (6th August)

An Auction Fillies' Stakes over 6f on good to firm going.  

Fourteen two-year-olds take part. 

A couple of outsiders that may have a chance. My brother is interested in Mark Usher's Padura Brave. This bay filly is a daughter of Havana Gold. She cost 11,500 guineas at the yearling sales. She started at 50/1 when making her debut at Newbury when finishing a creditable 8th, beaten just over five lengths. Not a bad looker for a filly. Usher doesn't go crazy with his debutantes and they often improve quite markedly for the first run. She is relatively fancied today but may drift a touch in the betting being from an unfashionable but well capable yard. A few places behind Tom Clover's Dawn Affair, so that could well be a positive and see the price touch decent double-figure odds. It's not the easiest of horses to assess but the family have seen a good few winners. 

Half interested in Stuart Williams Gregarious Girl. This bay daughter of Gregorian is a decent looker, too. Racing in the familiar silks of J W Parry, she was priced 25/1 on debut at Great Yarmouth when ridden by Milly Naseb claiming a valuable 5lb. She was slowly into stride, keen, but joined the lead at the two furlong pole before tiring in the closing stages to finish last of seven. I see there has been a little bit of money for this horse backed from 25/1 - 18/1. Another speculative bet who needs a touch of faith to back. 

The favourite, Lively Lydia, is trained by Eve Johnson-Houghton. This filly has run well on two starts and sets a fair standard from a plum draw in stall one.