Thursday 27 October 2022

Thursday's 2YO Update (27th October)

2:15 Lingfield - 

Pherenikos ran well on debut at Yarmouth. A strong-looking race. No value. Berkshire Cruz was fancied to go well on debut and professional. Should improve for that race and appreciate this step up in trip. Has decent stats if 9/1 and less sp. Apex ran a fair race on debut. Has very good stats if 13/2 and less sp. Alzahir has a group entry and disappointed last time. A poor effort for a short price. Not helped by today's fourth start. Needs to bounce back and best watched. Pumalin has decent stats for debutantes in October but very few win over 7/1. Can pop up with a very talented horse. 

2:50 Lingfield - 

Peace Of Mind won on debut and has to defy a penalty. Liberty Mountain has run five times and you'd imagine struggle and an official rating of 68 is just about selling class. Evening Story needed the run and had a lot of work to do after a slow start. A decent bred horse out of a winning mare. Owners - the Middlebrooks - do well with Kubler and he has decent stats sto with horses priced 10/1 and less sp. Could go well. Powdering is a decent looking horse who I thought would run better last time but didn't. Wasn't helped by inexperience and struggling on the turns.Should improve with experience but may be a horse set out for nursery races. Only one horse I would be looking at here and that's Evening Story but needs to show more and being a small race might be forced into the betting guide. 

5:30 Chelmsford - 

New Definition is Tate's best 2yo and a very capable horse with a win under his belt and an official rating of 89. Has to shoulder a win penalty. Sets a decent standard. No real real value but respected. Casamigos was beaten by a narrow margin by New Definition. I do think Tate's didn't have the best passage that day and Casamigos ran poorly last time at Yarmouth. It wasn't a bad performance but disappointing. I would have slight concerns she can beat New Definition. Muy Muy Guapo was slightly keen at Windsor but ran a sound race. Looking to hold every chance and tired in the closing stages. A class 2 stakes entry shows the standing this horse is held in the stable and while no super horse has a level of ability to perhaps be competitive here. As always, betting is all about finding value.