Tuesday 4 October 2022

Tuesday's 2yo Update (4th October)

2:35 Leicester - 

Power of Gold has fair stats but no value. Cannon Rock has fair stats if 7/1 and less sp. Marco Botti has been quiet this season but October is a month which sees the most debut winners for the stable and Daysofourlives has been nibbled at in the market. On a statistical front, he is very hit and miss on debut although features fair place claims.

2:43 Brighton - 

A lowly banded race. Strawberry Belle sets a decent level and been very consistent over the five runs so far. Always a worry a horse with so many runs will regress at some time and could do so at short odds. That's the gamble with a horse of this type. Sigmund ran well in the Convivial but fell flat second time out when odds on. Perhaps returning to turf will help. De Foy is a decent trainer and knows what he is doing so you would b hopeful of a better run today. Dagmar Run was half fancied on debut but run as if needing the race, out the back and running on with promise. Definitely looks more to come. Has decent stats if 13/2 and less sp. 

3:18 Brighton - 

This looks an open race which may not take a great deal of winning. I do wonder if Expressionless has been slightly flattered by his debut effort and failing sto out may see a vulnerable favourite. Hurtle has had five starts and been thereabout but struggling to get his head in front. An offIcial rating of 66 is basically plating class which doesn't set a very high level. In truth, this would need to be a below par race to win. Mark Johnston can win on debut but most are priced 9/2 and less sp. Also, its not the best month for debut winners for the stable but in a race which looks so weak a debutante may have claims. The betting should tell more. Interesting to see Dee's Dream has been given two class 2 stakes entries. Michael Attwater can find a winner and this filly may have a glimmer of hope although needs to show much more today. She didn't run a bad race on debut when pretty keen and looked outpaced when upped in class at Kempton, running wide and leading before dropping back. May have a chance at giant odds (because of the entries) but needs a transformation. 

6:30 Southwell - 

Two narrow losses for Double March but no value. Although I do associate Woods doing well at this course. Castle Peak hails from a stable that have excelled this year and a horse to be respected. Very good stats if 11/4 and less sp. James McHenry ran well on debut and may have disappointed last time although that was a tough race with quality and I wonder if the soft ground slightly took the edge off Bethell's runners. Looks the type to run a race. Calypso ran a fair race on debut and has very good place claims if 13/2 and less sp.