Saturday, 24 September 2016

2:45 Haydock 2YO Racing Tips (24th Sept) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Fillies Stakes (plus 10) over one mile on good going. 

Just a very quick word as I am pressed for time. 

Chakra and Duke's Girl are likely to need the run if unfancied the betting.

Eyreborn has claims if 7/1 & less SP. The betting suggests other are favoured. 

Hugo Palmer has been in tremendous form all season and Fleabiscuit will be hot in the betting. This 57,000E purchase has a Fillies' Mile (Group 1) entry. Worthy of respect. 

Free To Dance was relatively fancied on debut and a very narrow loser. Hubert John Strecher does well with this stable and if fancied in the betting has sound each-way claims. 

Lady Valdean is best watched. 

Pattie is unlikely to figure unless seriously backed. 

Rickrack was favourite on her second start at Yarmouth and that was a significant betting guide. One for the shortlist. 

Richard Hannon's Rockshine ran well on debut at Ascot. That looked a fair race and she has claims.

The Jean Genie is worth a bet if priced 13/2 & less SP, particularly so if 4/1 & less.

Conclusion: The betting will tell the story for most. Fleabiscuit has claims. Free To Dance is worthy of an each-way wager if priced 13/2 & less SP. 

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Thursday, 22 September 2016

Thursday's 2YO Racing Tips

Sir Mark Prescott,
A very busy week and struggling to keep up to date but will detail a couple of interesting horses. 

2:00 Newmarket - This doesn't look the easiest of races to assess. Martyn Meade has a select string of two-year-olds and Eminent has been showing up well on the gallops. This bay colt is a son of Frankel who cost 150,000G at the yearling sales. Must be one of the cheapest yearlings from this outstanding sire. In the ownership of Sir Peter Vela. The majority of the Frankel debutantes are primed to go well on their first start and this youngster isn't likely to be any different. Meade does well with his juveniles and although this will not be a walk in the park he could hold each-way claims.

5:45 Chelmsford - For quite a restricted race type this race has decent prize money and the potential of the Plus 10 for those eligible. Sir Mark Prescott's debutantes have been as slow as a snail this season which the majority very inexperienced. Kohinoor Diamond is a bay filly sired by Excelebration, a relatively cheap yearling purchase at just 35.000E. She was made 50-1 on debut over course and distance. She most definitely needed the run. A slow start, green in rear, and pushed along on rear, and after showing just a glimmer of ability was eased towards the finish. A wide draw doesn't inspire confidence because if Kohinoor Diamond is slow away it could be missing impossible if running on the outer. Turning courses are always hard work if not sitting in a decent position. The key factor for this fillies' chance is the betting. If priced 13/2 & less has sound claims from a statistical point of view. Even if within this betting guide I would have to take a watching brief with fear of the draw. 

Tuesday, 20 September 2016

3:45 Ffos Las 2YO Racing Tips (20th Sept) FELINFOEL BREWERY MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 7f 80y on good to soft going. Raphe Beckett has been in good form with his two-year-olds and jockey Fran Berry as professional as ever. It pays to have a long memory - like an elephant -because so many things in racing are quickly forgotten and that is particularly true of race entries. Here's a question. Can you remember the two-year-olds entered for the Convivial Maiden Stakes at York? The most impressive prize money for any maiden race. I doubt you can.

I had a conversation with a reader who told me that all this entry chatter is all so easy to find and understand. It's not rocket science! 

I never said it was. However, here's the rub...can anyone tell me which unraced horses were entered for the Convivial? What do you think? Surprise, surprise...I can. Because it's my job to know these things. I love all these people who think they know so much and when it comes to me asking them a question know... very little at all about two-year-old horse racing. I'm all for a touch of logic. If someone knows better. Good luck. I love to see people succeed in life and I do my very best to make that happen. Why? Because I'm content in what I know. 

Isabel De Urbina was entered for the Convivial for Raphe Beckett. Now, this doesn't mean it's a guaranteed winner. But it's a bloody good sign it does. This Irish-bred bay filly is a daughter of Lope De Vega is out of a winning mare who race predominantly at listed class. Interesting this homebred from Mariebelle Irish Farm Limited was sent through the sales ring as a yearling bought in by the vendor for 145,000G. We will see if knowledge is power. But if I knew something which most didn't it's good reason to come back for more insightful news about the best two-year-olds in training.     

Knowledge is power!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1st 

Monday, 19 September 2016

2:10 Kempton 2YO Racing Tips (19th Sept) APOLLOBET NEW WEBSITE MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

I have been a touch quiet with going to Great Yarmouth for the Eastern Festival and then catching up with all the work I missed while away for a few days. I didn't have a bet at the races but won a few quid at the casino. I don't bet much money.  Well, best get back to writing a few posts and looking at the two-year-old racing action. 

A Maiden Stakes over 5f on a standard to slow going. Ten two-year-olds takes part: six colts and four fillies. Eight horses have race experience and two debutantes. 

It will be interesting to see how Michael Bell's Fire Brigade goes after an absence of almost two months. This son of Firebreak has been fancied in the betting both starts and disappointed. The support on both of those runs suggests to me that this bay colt is thought capable of much better. In fact, the statistics for its last start indicated a very big run. That didn't happen. Intriguing to see Spencer takes the ride. A drop back in distance may or not be the key. I imagine the truth of the matter is whether this youngster actually shows what it must have been doing on the gallops. There is a chance that this drop in distance is a blatant option to be completely outpaced and receive a nice handicap mark. Time will tell. There could be a chance Fire Brigade is backed from big odds. 

Mr Black was well backed on debut at Thirsk but had a mountain to climb after a slow start. A £120,000 breeze-up purchase by trainer George Scott. Connections must have expected much more last start and it could be the case this colt is capable of much better. I must admit Scott has had a few short priced debutantes fail miserably and this season has been littered with disappointments with his two-year-olds. Jamie Spence was booked to ride on debut but partners Fire Brigade. Mr Black looked to hold some hope when making progress at Thirsk before tiring. The betting suggests a big run is expected and while this isn't a horse I would back myself is worthy of respect.

Rapid Ranger is another breeze-up purchase who cost £75,000. This son of Kyllachy hasn't been seen since May. He was relatively fancied in the betting but had a couple of talents to compete with in Super Julius and Barrington. If priced 13/2 & less has each-way claims.

Seamus Durack doesn't train many two-year-olds but can go well. Orithia cost 35,000G at the yearling sales. This American-bred daughter of More Than Ready is probably best watched unless very well backed. 

Philip McBride is a class trainer and I particularly like this two-year-olds on their second start. Supreme Power wasn't fancied in the betting on debut and had a tall order after a slow start. A relatively cheap foal, this son of Power will need to improve on that debut effort but should be wiser today and if fancied in the betting has each-way claims. 

Owen Burrows has a decent string of juveniles. With most hailing from Hamdan Al Maktoum, they are worthy of note. He has had a few fancied debutantes disappoint and Kowaiyes doesn't have any lofty entries. This son of Exceed And Excell is a homebred and already a gelding. A difficult horse to assess. 

Richard Hughes is another trainer who hasn't really achieved a great deal this first season. Zavikon is a bay colt and son of Compton Place who cost £75,000 at the yearling sales. He showed the ability of debut at Kempton before tiring in the closing stages and that is probably the reason for a drop to the minimum distance. That was a decent debut and if coping with this lesser distance may hold claims.  

Charles Hills sends out Kendamara for her second start after a few weeks on the sidelines. This January foal didn't show a great deal on debut, although not beaten too many lengths when going left from the start and always behind. A 1000,000G yearling - better could be expected and if priced 13/2 & less SP has each-way claims.
Sea My Diamond & Miriam Violet are best watched. 

Conclusion: Quite an open-looking race. The betting will be the best guide for most. Intrigued to see if Fire Brigade and Mr. Black can do more after being backed on their respective starts. Both could have ability. Money would give more confidence. The betting will detail the chances of Rapid Ranger and Kendamara. If priced 13/2 & less SP have fair each-way claims. If outside this betting guide best watched. Not sure what to think about Kowaiyes. I would fear this horse but wouldn't bet on it today. Supreme Power should improve for his first start and another who has each-way chances. 

Tuesday, 13 September 2016

2:20 Yarmouth Racing Tips (13th Sept) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) over 6f  3y on good to firm going.  

Bouquet De Flores has been a short-priced favourite on both starts to date and ran with credit when third at Goodwood. That contest had very good prize money and this daughter of Street Cry is held in some regard by Godolphin. She has shown ability but I can't help thinking connections expected more. However, this will be a good chance to taste glory. 

Always Thankful is worthy of note for Ismail Mohammed. She cost 220,000G at the breeze-up sales. This talented trainer can deliver debut winners and although a tall order the price tag could detail a horse of interest for the future if not for today.

Simon Dow has a decent juvenile on his hands with Chica De La Noche. This daughter of Teofilo cost 62,000G at the yearling sales. She hasn't had any luck. I had a bet to win many thousand when her saddle slipped at Newbury when looking like winning. It was a disappointing day for many supporters. At Chelmsford City this bay filly ran well after drifting markedly in the betting. It didn't put me off. However, being pipped at the post by a talented Simon Crisford debutante didn't make my day. It was compounded as I didn't put a bet up in-running and she touched 1.03 of something fantastically short. Dread. I won something on the place, which I put up in running at 1.01 just to and to my frustration (why didn't I do the same on the win bet as it would have won me several hundred). She is priced 14/1 at the moment but I would rule out another bold show. This looks a tough race but she is no slouch. 

Yarmouth will feel homely for Textured who raced here last time out when pipped by her stablemate Exmouth who is held in high regard. This daughter of Dark Angel must have needed the run on debut, starting at big odds and finishing down the field. In truth, I think the winner was a class apart although being ring rusty made it look hard work for most of the way.    

Simon Crisford has been inspired this season and trains selective, talented juveniles. Muthmira was made favourite on debut when finishing third but had little luck second start when heavily backed at Ascot. This chestnut daughter of Arcano found herself stuck behind a wall of horses and literally gave up the ghost when entering the final furlong. It is difficult to assess what this breeze-up purchase is truly capable of but to be made such a short favourite last start suggests she has ample ability.

William Haggas has a strong yard of two-year-olds. Gheedaa is a homebred daughter of Tamayuz. The betting will be the best guide. I would definitely let the betting settle before taking the plunge. It will take a fair horse to beat these experienced juveniles and I would take a watching brief. Although if priced 13/2 &  less SP has each-way claims.

Cool Breeze, Dandy Walk & Diamond Bear are best watched.  

Conclusion: A competitive heat and a few of these will be hoping to put the Plus £10,000 in their pocket. The betting will be the best guide for Gheedaa. Textured could be ok but I do feel other will be better. Bouquet De Flores showed ability last start and that was a pretty hot race. I am pretty sure Godolphin like this filly and this does look lesser class. Muthmira has a similar profile, although disappointed last start but that effort is best forgotten. She hasn't got a string of lofty entries but the betting on both starts details that she has ample ability. Chica De La Noche has been the epitome of bad luck but she is a fair juvenile who will run well. Being trained by a less fashionable handler and looking a bit exposed she may well hold each-way claims especially if drifting to big odds. If touching 20/1+ (will be bigger on Betfair) she could out down a challenge. 

Monday, 12 September 2016

1:50 Brighton (12th Sept) CALL STAR SPORTS ON 08000 521 321 MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 6) (2yo)

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 6f 209y on good to soft going. A very restricted race type which favours form horses. 

Nine two-year-olds. Six with race experience. A few of these have form and their respective trainers will be coming here and confident of a bold show. 

Bayston Hill finished runner-up on his first five starts before disappointing when stepping up to a mile at Salisbury. This Irish son of Big Bad Bob has the abilty to go close and go well over course and distance. Difficult to know what to think about that last effort after a string of hard races. Mark Usher has given this gelding a rest but you have to be concerned he may have been soured. 

Julia Feilden's stable has been quiet of late because their has been coughing in the stable and much of Newmarket. Pitch High ran a sterling race on debut at Sandown and was fancied to go well at Yarmouth but ran no race at all. There was clearly an issue that day. I notice this son of Requinto is now gelded. Whether this is a recent occurrence I cannot remember. But I know connections were disappointed and after a lengthy spell on the sidelines should be primed. Definitely one for the shortlist and I'd be surprised if this 12,000G breeze-up purchase doesn't go well.  

On form there isn't a great deal between Bayston Hill and Winning Bid. This bay colt has ability and not beaten by many lengths but on form looks relatively form. 

Myhorsewithnoname is trained by Natalie Lloyd-Beavis. This grey colt is a son of Lilbourne Lad and a £1000 breeze-up purchase. Love to see the underdog go well here but best watched. 

Otomo finished last on debut and need to improve a good deal.  

George Baker is a capable trainer. Dancing Dragon is an Irish-bred daughter of Dragon Pulse. This filly cost 14,000E at the yearling sales. The stable's two-year-old debutantes are usually better for the run. However, if strongly fancied in the betting it would give greater hope. I would take a watching brief.  

Peter Chapple-Hyam seems to have less and less two-year-olds in his string but few trainers can prime a horse to go better on its racecourse bow. Red Sniper is a chestnut daughter of Casamento out of a three times winning mare. She cost just 8,000G when purchased at the yearling sales and racing in the silks of The Rogues Gallery Syndicate. From a statistical point of view, this juveniles have decent win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. If weak in the betting, best watched. 

Pat Phelan has a few two-year-olds in his string but most are modest. Peloton is a home-bred daughter of Mount Nelson and quite an attractive type. She finished second of four horses, but defeated in fair style by a horse priced 1/20f. It is difficult to assess his juvenile.  

Cheers All Round is best watched. 

Conclusion: A lowly race based on horse's sale price. Bayston Hill has the best form but has he cracked after a disappointing last start? I would have to take a watching brief. Pitch High is interesting. He ran well on debut and something went amiss at Yarmouth. There has been coughing in the stable and that may have been the issue. At odds of 8/1 I could see a few punters making an each-way price. Interesting. Red Sniper has claims if priced 13/2 & less sp. Peloton is difficult to assess. These races are pretty limited and mostly go to form horses. Pitch High would get teh nod although there are question marks so I'm far from bullish.  

Friday, 9 September 2016

4:10 Salisbury (9th September) Hannon, it's My Prerogative

A Median Auction Stakes over 1m. Good ground. Richard Hannon and the Royal Ascot Racing Club will be quaffing a glass of champagne if Prerogative finds the winner's enclosure today. This son of Rock Of Gibraltar tries for the eighth time of asking after a luckless string of bold shows but no cigar. This bay colt has been admirable in defeat, chasing home a number of talented juveniles. Plenty of horses have won races a lot easier than these hot maidens and his followers will be hoping it is their turn to finally wipe the smile off those dreaded bookmakers. With so many hard races there is a concern this battler may start to sour. In addition, this is his first step up to a mile. This March foal is a consistent horse who deserves his taste of glory and it might just come his way. 

Joseph Tuite has a well-bred juvenile with the Dark Destroyer who showed up well on debut at Newmarket and then not a million miles away in Goffs Premier Yearling Stakes at York. This step up in distance may bring further improvement because the dam certainly enjoyed a trip at the highest level. A fresh horse, who is likely to be fit for the day, and if there is a chink in Prerogative's armour will enjoy a good joust.

Most of the debutantes will have to be pretty smart to unhinge these two protagonists. 

Andrew Balding can find debut winners, especially when his juveniles are priced 7/1, for some strange reason. Those odds light the tail of his two-year-olds making their racecourse bow. If priced 10/1 & less SP they still have a slightly warm look about them. Aktinson Grimshaw isn't without a chance although the favourites may need to fluff their lines or this chestnut colt needs to be fired-up. 

Peace Telegram may hold claims if backed to 13/2 & less Sp which is a notable betting guide for Michael Bell's debutants often pointing to their better types in the stable. 

James Tate is another trainer who does well with two-year-olds at the first time of asking. Saeed Manana does well with his bargain buys and Thomas Crown may be a horse to paint the town red. 

Verdict: Prerogative deserve to win and may just have enough class to defy this opposition after a number of hard races. I do have a concern when a horse is placed unending times that it may forever struggle to win. Dark Destroyer is a fresher horse and if touching each-way prices would be a worthy opponent. If appreciating this step up in distance, he could be a handful. Definitely, a horse to back if the favourite is supported to the point of stupidity. The debutantes will need to be smart or the favourite disappoint. If Aktinson Grimshaw starts at 7/1 it may be a sign of ability.   

Thursday, 8 September 2016

Thursday's Racing Tips

2yo horse racing tips
A few two-year-old races to consider so here goes.

2:05 Epsom - No great interest here. Quite a restricted race type. I thought Masonic would go well last time out for Robyn Brisland after a fair effort on debut at sunny Yarmouth. Not sure what happened last time out when this son Intense Focus when he trailed down the field. I'd have to take a watching brief as I don't like betting when there is a question mark or two. 

3:40 Doncaster - Weatherbys Hamilton £300,000 2-Y-O Stakes. A big field trying to snatch win prize money of £147,540. Twenty-two runners plenty of talents.Definitely a watching race. 

4:50 Doncaster - A hot maiden. Win prize money of £9,703.50 (love the 50p). Eight runners for this 1-mile contest which may be of interest to each-way backers. The Anvil is trained by Aidan O'Brien. This son of Galileo looked to be second string on debut at the Curragh and expectation is that this bay colt will be primed for today. He has a string of impressive entries but whether I'd jump in at 6/4 is another question. Hydroxide is held in high regard by Hugo Palmer and unlucky not to win on debut after a tardy start. If drifting to each-way prices, I'd take an interest.

6:10 Chelmsford - I keep thinking what could have been when Chica De La Noche's saddle slipped when 100/1 at Newbury. I had a bet to win a hell of a lot of money and not particularly impressed by that turn of events when looking a winner. I would fancy Simon Dow's to go very well here but a wide draw doesn't inspire although I wish connection better luck because she is a decent horse. 

Wednesday, 7 September 2016

2:00 Doncaster Racing Tips (7th Sept) IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF CONDITIONS STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 2) (2yo)

A fascinating start to the St Leger Festival 2016. A Conditions Stakes (Plus 10) over 6f on good to soft going. 

Dream Of Dreams sets the form being placed in the Railway Stakes Group 3 at the Curragh. Pulling up last time out when competing in the Gimcrack Stakes Group 2 is a puzzler, although connections must be satisfied that issue has been resolved. By all accounts, this is a significant drop in class. 

Battaash won well on debut when seemingly unfancied in the betting but disappointed next start when outclassed in the Windsor Castle Stakes Listed. 

Being second string to Owen Burrows' Akhlaaq suggests Hamdan Al Maktoum is pinning his hopes on this son of New Approach. This bay colt was purchased at the yearling sales for 4000,000G. We detailed this juvenile was held in high regard before his debut at Salisbury, where the money was down but winning looked unlikely until the dying strides. At the line, Akhlaaq won a shade cosily. The second has franked the form. Connections have pattern race ambitions with this sizable colt and they will be disappointed if he fails. 

James Bond fans will be backing *Ernststavrobofeld hoping trainer Martyn Mead has a devilish master plan. This chestnut son of Elusive Quality was a bargain buy at 62,000E. Racing in the familiar silks of Chelsea Thoroughbred - Diamonds, this colt is held in very high regard. He was a talking horse before making his debut at Great Yarmouth, which was a fair contest but nothing beyond the norm. This March foal took a good while to gather his stride and looked a touch outpaced before collaring the front-running Stanhope who used his experience gaining an easy lead. 

Mead is a calculated trainer - a perfectionist. He runs his juveniles selectively and places them well. Ernststavrobofeld was earmarked for the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) & most recently at Listed. Mead must have felt those races either come too soon or that to step straight into pattern class may have been a mistake at this stage. Improvement is needed from that debut.  

Jacquard and Town Charter represent Mark Johnston. The former has won twice and a fair juvenile. However, Town Charter is, in my opinion, the better horse. This grey colt is a son of Australian stallion Lonhro. He was put in his place on debut at Carlisle by a useful winner but cruised to an easy win next time out before finishing second to Mubtasim at Haydock. Make no mistake, William Haggas' winner is a class horse and that performance may have blurred the lines of this juvenile. On entries alone, he looks to be one of the better two-year-old in the stable. 

Although the Johnston duo has similar official ratings, I would be amazed if *Town Charter doesn't beat his stablemate. In fact, it wouldn't be a surprise to see him go well. 

Lost At Sea is the only debutante in the field. Karl Burke is a superb trainer and this son of Dutch Art is held in high regard by connections. However, it would take a mighty effort to win this race on debut. 

Conclusion: A fascinating race. It could quite easily be a Listed contest because the winner will be heading for pattern class sooner than later. Dream Of Dreams sets the standard but has to put that last start behind him. Akhlaaq & Ernststavrobofeld are both exciting prospects and although needing to improve they have a reputation and profile which suggest they will. Town Charter may be a dark horse. I feel that recent loss put this colt in the shade but time may tell it was a very hot contest. 

A difficult race to call. With only seven entrants the luxury of an each-way bet (3 places, at least) isn't an option. I would opt for Akhlaaq if pressed but, in truth, I will take a watching brief and enjoy this as a purist. 


Monday, 5 September 2016

2:20 Windsor Racing Tips (5th Sept) OAKLEY COURT MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

Harry Angel, Clive Cox,
A Maiden Stakes over 6f on good to firm going. Nine two-year-olds take part. Just one horse of interest - Harry Angel. Clive Cox's Irish-bred colt is a son of Dark Angel was a bargain buy at $44,000 at Goffs yearling sales. Peter Ridgers has a smart juvenile. Harry Angel made his debut at Ascot way back in May. That was a pretty stiff race. Connections must have been disappointed to be beaten by a nose. Clearly, there must have been an issue or two along the way for this juvenile to have been off course for over 120 days. Cox had this colt earmarked for the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) but that race has come and gone so it is most likely back to the drawing board and this contest should result in an easy success. At prohibitive odds, most punters will take a watching brief but for those who fancy putting this in a multi bet or just placing down their wad of cash. Job done.