Tuesday, 12 December 2017

11:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th December)

McEntee - Mother Knows Best
An early start to proceedings.

A 6F 1y Selling Stakes. A Class 6. 

2yo race. 

Five juveniles take part. 

Before I even get started, I'm not betting. However, I will detail one horse to watch. Mother Of Dragons. It sounds like a book and I feel as though I've written a couple of chapters about this daughter of Society Rock. Horse racing is like a bag of mixed, boiled sweets. They all look attractive but as you walk home in the darkness, stealing a sweet from your bag, you are never quite sure what flavour will set your taste buds on fire. I don't think they have a tabasco flavour but you get the idea. 

Mother Of Dragon. Sure a few punters have shouted out Mother... Something. This chestnut filly started her career with Joseph Tuite. She didn't cost a great deal at the yearling sales. Relatively fancied on debut, she finished second losing by half a length to Yogi's Girl who is a fair type. Next start at Goodwood, she was made odds-on but lost to May Remain. Another fair type trained by Paul Cole. To add to that lustre, the third start saw her compete at Royal Ascot in the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2). Originally in the silks of Qatar Racing Ltd, this 100/1 was well beaten on finishing position but not disgraced by distance. To be fair, she has run a number of races and shown an element of ability.  

By the seventh race, connections must have given up the ghost. These big outfits aren't interested in winning egg and spoon races. 

She was sold at the October Sales for 2,5000 guineas. 

Trained by Phil McEntee. With an official rating of 67, rising to 70, this April foal has carried on in a similar fashion: close but no cigar. Don't you just love a woman who smokes a cigar? 

We've seen 11 races go by. Four seconds, two thirds. Total earning of £12,331. She's paid her way. 

Could this be her day? Finally?

Two of the five look slower than a tortoise, one with an official rating of just 39. Another slow coach with many runs under his belt with a 50 rating. 

Surely, this must be a two-horse race?

A Selling Stakes. Win prize money of £2,458. 

Inuk Vs Mother Of Dragons. 

It's like Rambo's mum fighting some random girl down the street. A dark street where you can't work out which boiled sweet you have in your gob until you suck it. 

Mother Of Dragons is odds-on. Should we be worried or rejoicing? Josephine Gordon booked to ride. Phil McEntee looks happy. 

If she doesn't win today, I'm going to shout something obscene: Mother...

Good luck. 

Monday, 11 December 2017

1:30 Southwell Racing Tips: On The Warpath

That's Not Southwell Racecourse
An EBF Novices Stakes over 7f 14y on Standard going.

On The Warpath cruised to an easy victory over course and distance. Impressive. Fair enough it may not have been the best race of all time but there was a lot to like about this colt trained by Sir Mark Prescott. 

A 7lb penalty may take a little glimmer off his shine. However, he won that day as if 20lbs wouldn't have made his backers' smile turn to a frown.  

James Givens' G Eye Joe contested that race. This juvenile, in the ownership of The Cool Silk Partnership, was once considered for the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2). 

Fancied on debut at Ascot, he showed little. This son of Lethal Force was short in the betting before drifting markedly when paralysed by the speed of the above-mentioned charge. I had a small each-way bet and felt peeved to see this February foal snubbed on the line for third. Like having two slaps around the face: one for optimism and another just in case I needed to learn a lesson. Interesting to see if he can show more today? He seemed ring rusty if not plainly outpaced. Watching him eclipsed by orange silks with orange stars left me feeling like a lemon! 

It left a sour taste. 

A much bigger price today, but need to prove that last effort was all wrong. Not beyond the realms although I'm not keen on question marks? 

The silks of Flaxman Stables Ireland Ltd are familiar to most racing fans. They know a decent horse when they have one.

Ulyssees comes to mind. 

Magnetic Boundary is trained by George Scott, a handler who seems to disappoint too many times for my liking. I mean regarding well-backed debutantes who fall on their own sword. This American-bred of Union Rags is a home-bred from a decent family. He was fancied to go well on debut over course and distance and foiled by Tallow for William Haggas. The pair separated by a length and ten lengths clear of the third. You couldn't knock that performance and there could be more to come. 

*Pastamakesufaster had shown next to no ability to being well backed and flying home at Goodwood. She went to Deauville last time out on very soft going. David Evans' bay filly was relatively fancied in the betting but finished last of seven. Probably ran too bad to be true. Worthy of respect if backed although has to defy a penalty.

Karl Burke's Line House won last time out and has a win penatly. Previously trained by Robyn Brisland. Priced to hold each-way claims. 

Unless backed, the rest are best watched. 

Conclusion: Not a race I can see myself getting too involved. On The Warpath looked impressive last time, enjoying the surface and turn. Even with a penalty, you would be hardpressed to bet on anything else. There could be a few punters looking to bet Magnetic Boundary each way. He ran well on debut and should hit the frame. Pastamakesufaster won well with an official rating of just 60. She was clearly well in that day. A big run was expected and seen. It says the merit she is held by competing at Listed class when travelling to France. Another horse with a weight penalty. May struggle against the colts but still something of an unknown quantity. G Eye Joe may be worth a speculative bet if drifting to huge odds on the exchanges. However, you will be banking on him disappointing last time out when thrashed by On The Warpath. It would have to be a speculative punt and I think I'd close my eyes and just listen to the commentary than watch. 

*NR

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1:30 Southwell Racing Tips: On The Warpath 

Saturday, 9 December 2017

7:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th December)

Sound And Silence
A Conditions Stakes over 6f 20y on Standard going. 

An All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier. A competitive Class 2 race. Win prize money of £9,452. Eight two-year-olds take part. 

The betting suggests five horses have some hope. 

Sound And Silence is the class horse of the field. Charlie Appleby's son of Exceed And Excell has run nine times, winning four, placed on three more occasions. Debut winner, remarkably consistent. Twice a Listed class victor and ''ready'' Group 3 in the Prix Eclipse at Maison-Laffitte. His three placed efforts (runner-up) saw losses of no more than half a length. With an official rating of 107 and total prize earning of £184,270 this is a talented juvenile. In fact, by significant entries, one of the better youngsters in the Godolphin string. He has predominantly raced over 5f, although a winner on one of two starts over 6f. The main handicap here is that Sound And Silence has to give away 7lb to some smart opponents. From a prime draw, he will be a tough nut to crack. 

Corinthia Knight has an official rating of 105. This Irish-bred son of Societ Rock was a boon for rookie trainer Archie Watson and the Ontoawinner & Partner syndicate. A spectacular debut win made headline news. This chestnut colt has achieved three wins. On a form line with Sound And Silence at Maisons-Laffitte, he holds every chance, especially with the Godolphin charge shouldering a penalty. He has proven a real speedster on the all-weather, liking turning courses, and literally destroyed the opposition when winning at this course. Interesting to see if this 6f is a plus or a minus. Considering this January foal has been racing over the minimum trip this extra yardage may be a test in the closing stages especially if leading.   

Hugo Palmer has a number of talented juveniles in his armoury so it could be telling that Never Back Down has been selected here. This son of Kodiac certainly gave Sound And Silence a run for his money on debut when losing by half a length. He beat a fair horse in Haddaf when 1/3f on his second start at Leicester. Wasn't beaten far when 9th in the Tote Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar. Although disappointed somewhat at Listed class on his final start of the season at Doncaster. Definitely needs to have improved since the last run at the end of October. 

Mark Johnston's Izzy Bizu has been kept busy all season. This brown daughter of Kodiac has four wins from nine starts including a Listed victory at Deauville, France. There isn't much of this filly but she runs well fresh. A penalty doesn't help her cause against the colts.

The most lightly raced horse in the field is Sylvester Kirk's Music Society. This Irish-bred son of Society Rock was fancied to go well on debut at Chepstow. He did little wrong finishing runner-up to the speedy Demon's Rock. It was only a Median Auction so nothing to get too carried away. However, he proved an easy winner at the same level when crushing his opposition at Chelmsford when stepping up to 7f. 

Joegogo, Our Man In Havana & Yogi's Girl are best watched. 

Conclusion: Not the best money for a contest of this stature although being a Fast Track Qualifier it must have its positives. Charlie Appleby has placed Sound And Silence exceptional well. He has always been held in high regard by connections and one of the best-entered juveniles in their string. It would have been easy to push too high with this colt but Appleby has placed him to win. This race looks par for the course. A prime draw is no bad thing around here. The stumbling block may be the penalty. I would suspect that even with that millstone he will take some beating. Whether I would jump in at short odds is another matter. Corinthia Knight loves these turning courses and probably a better horse on the all-weather. He may well set a ferocious pace and try and hang on for grim death. I just wonder if this 6f will be his weakness. A horse, if betting, where you may be wise to lay your stake or bet in running. Never Back Down is one of a number of horses Hugo Palmer could have raced. That gives the impression he is better than seen. On form, he may need to improve a good deal. Izzy Bizu goes well fresh but has a penalty and a filly again the colts will have a tough call. Music Society drops in distance and although an easy winner last time out it was at a restricted grade. I wouldn't look beyond the two favourites. 

Tuesday, 5 December 2017

1:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th December)

Sir Mark Prescott
A Fillies' Novices Stakes over 7f 36y (Plus 10 race) (Div I) (Class 5) (2yo) on Standard going. 

Interesting how horses progress with racing. Sir Mark Prescott's' Bath And Tennis is a fine example of why it doesn't pay to write off a horse too quickly. Two-year-olds develop at different rates. They have different temperaments. Also, it shouldn't be forgotten that trainers take time to appreciate what works for each and every horse. Juveniles have breeding lines which help handlers assess the best distance. Perhaps not a blank canvas but unlike an experienced horse, there are more variables which need pinning down.

Bath And Tennis is a daughter of Footstepsinthesand who has raced eight times, twice a winner. This bay filly was on our radar early season because we knew Prescott liked the horse. However, after two promising starts, she was outclassed at Royal Ascot and then disappointed at Beverley and Chepstow to a point where I had almost given up. The reason why she won the last two races is simply that of stepping up in distance. Six and seven furlongs seem to help better than the minimum trip. 

Bath And Tennis has achieved a fair level of ability with an official rating of 80. Not bad. She has to shoulder 10 stone, which sees her giving 14lb away to the field. Can she win again? It isn't beyond the realms. I wouldn't knock anyone for betting although I will be watching myself. I feel for a two-year-old to give away a stone is a pretty tough challenge. 

So many times tipsters are only interested in the horse on the day. There's nothing wrong with that thought. It is exactly what I do much of the time. But it pays to think that horses, trainers, owners, opportunities are in a state of flux. Also, I always remember a horse breeder from the States. Nellie Cox from Rose Retreat Lodge. She said something that is so easy to forget: ''Every horse has its story.'' Often a story that very few realise. Those days, when foaled, are remembered by the breeder, staff. The sales ring. Learning the ropes to become a racehorse. Until the day they make their first race. And from there, the story, for most, begins. I would just like to say it brings greater insight to appreciate the horse's story. They all deserve respect as do the people who make horse racing their daily business.

Friday, 1 December 2017

7:45 Chelmsford 2YO Racing Tips (1st December)

Red Cadeaux, Ed Dunlop
A Nursery Handicap with an official rating of 0-65. 

Ten two-year-olds take part at Chelmsford City Racecourse on Standard going. 

Nothing too exciting going on here although one or two horses have either been held in higher regard or regressed over this formative season. 

Conflagration has been a thorn in my side. This bay colt is a son of Exceed And Excell cost 370,000G when purchased at two. Owner S F Hui must be looking at this April foal with daggers drawn because this juvenile has been painfully poor on three starts to date. I'm pretty sure Ed Dunlop expected much more than seen. There is little doubt this horse has been doing much better on the gallops. He was fancied to go well on debut at Windsor when sixth of eleven. I had a bet second start and confident he would be placed, at least. I was waiting for something. Waiting, waiting...waiting. Then realised nothing was happening or going to happen! 

Irritating. 

I suspected Conflagration had disappointed and, perhaps, had an issue. I even had a bet last time out at huge odds. I actually bet early and really got the wrong end of the stick and then bet more to try and bolster the price. However, when the price drifted to 40-1 it looked very likely someone knew it wasn't the day. Amazingly, I managed to lay my bet on the exchanges (or most of it) at shorter odds in running. That felt like a win because I had dug myself into a hole. It just shows what can happen. 

He wasn't disgraced in sixth, not beaten a great distance. 

I get the feeling, connections had no interest in showing much on that third start because they didn't want to ruin a low handicap mark. I get the feeling Conflagration is much better than we have seen and this will be the day they should try. I expect to see a much more vigorous ride from Jim Crowley. 

So what do we expect?

Priced 100/30, a horse that has shown little, you have to take a leap of faith and betting on the possibility this colt hasn't shown his cards and he is going to place a big bet on this prial of kings. If this horse is ever going to win a race I would expect it to be today. 

Whether I want to bet is another thing. I wrote an article years back called: I followed that horse off a cliff. This could be that horse. 

If drifting to 5/1 or so, I may have a very small each-way bet. If it doesn't place and you hear an explosion...it will be me. 

Blimey, that is one poor horse. It must have a rating of 45.

Interested in Horse Racing Syndicates take a look at this new website. 


Thursday, 30 November 2017

7:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (30th November)

Mrs Z Wentworth Horse Racing
An EBF Novice Median Auction Stakes over 7f 14y on Standard going. 

Just six two-year-olds for this Class 6 contest. A mix of trainers, colts and fillies, all raced, bar one debutante who adds a little Hocus Focus to proceedings. 

If the betting is our guide, three horses head the field. 

I'm interested to see how Karl Burke's filly goes. Cirrus Minor wasn't fancied in the betting when making her debut at this course over 6f. However, this daughter of George Vancouver out of a French mare ran an eye-catching second to Peace Trail. Racing in the familiar silks of Mrs Z Wentworth, this 80,000 euro purchase looked to have a fine chance when making her return at Wolverhampton. A 2-1f, she was prominent before fading tamely to finish seventh beaten a number of lengths. By race type, this is a drop in class and connections may consider this extra furlong adds to this bay fillies' chances. She did look a touch keen last time out which may have been the reason for the disappointment or there could have been something amiss. 

Unless drifting in the market, I will be watching. Not keen on these small fields although I would take the betting last start as significant and if this April foal has ability it will most likely be seen. 

NR: Cirrus Minor 

Wednesday, 29 November 2017

Wednesday's Racing Tips

Dick Turpin Racehorse
Limited time, so I will keep this brief.

These horses are noted simply because they have been detailed by www.grouphorse.co.uk 

12:45 Wolverhampton - 

Diamond Pursuit is a limited filly who finds herself in this 0-65 rated handicap. At least Jo Hughes daughter of Pastoral Pursuits has won this season. A slight drop in class should help at fair odds 8-1. May hit the frame. 

1st 9/1 

1:15 Wolverhampton - 

A big field. Thirteen two-year-olds take part with a mix of talented trainers. A couple of debutantes head the betting: Calypso Blue & Monteja. West Palm Beach won last time out, taking time to get going, and will appreciate this stiffer test of stamina although has to defy a winner's penalty. Dance Me has been running creditably for Sylvester Kirk. She is progressing with racing and in the top juveniles for the stable although no superstar. It one or two of the debutantes disappoints could well hit the frame. 

NR: Dance Me, Monteja.

3:55 Wolverhampton - 

We're almost dropping off the edge of the world at this grade. A lowly 0-60 rated handicap for two-year-olds. Brian Ellison is a determined trainer and he must feel as though he has earned his money with Skyva. This bay gelding hasn't achieved a great deal but ran on with some encouragement last time out when backed over 5f. This son of Dick Turpin remains on an OR of 59 and apprentice Ben Robinson keeps the ride with his handy 5lb allowance. A low draw may see this horse sit with the lead rather than playing catch up. Skyva doesn't remind me of the type to do anything easy but at 5-1 has a good chance of hitting the frame as ever. 

1st 5/1 

I may have one statistical horse for tomorrow which I will update in the morning. 

4:40 Kempton - Desert Doctor (from a statistical point of view this horse has strong claims)

1st 4/1

And that's why we know what we are doing. 

Tuesday, 28 November 2017

2:10 Southwell Racing Tips (28th November)

The Cool Silk Partnership
A Novice Stakes over 7f on Standard going. 

Nine two-year-olds take part: all raced bar one debutante. 

The betting suggests five horses have some hope here. I will detail three who may well fill the frame. 

Sir Mark Prescott has had an indifferent season with his juveniles. A few winners but no horses of above-average ability. On The Warpath is an American-bred son of Declaration Of War. This chestnut colt was a 33-1 shot on debut when fourth over 7f at Chelmsford, losing by less than three lengths. Prescott's juveniles often improve for the run and although starting at 14-1 on his next start at Lingfield, ran a sterling race to finish a head behind Charlie Appleby's Statehood, the fast-finishing Il Primo Sole, not quite catching the leaders who listened to his fast hooves echoing at the line. This April foal (born on April Fools Day) sets the standard.

Interesting to see the return of James Givens' G Eye Joe. This chestnut colt is owned by The Cool Silk Partnership who is no stranger to talented juveniles. This son of Lethal Force was a breeze-up purchase for 85,000G. That isn't the greatest sum for this outfit but this trainer/owner combination are worthy of respect. It is telling this February foal was strongly fancied in the betting when making his debut at Ascot back in July over 6f. He was backed from 6-1 to 9-2 but showed little when finishing last. Clearly, something was expected that day competing for win prize money of £12,000+. The stats for G Eye Joe indicated a big run was expected that day so it is fair to assess he disappointed and being off course for months indicates that point. 

Givens gave this colt a Gimcrack Stakes Group 2 entry, one of a handful of the stable's juveniles to receive any significant entries for the season.  This could well prove significant. Added to the betting on debut, a race with high-end prize money, it gives hope this youngster has a level of ability. It is also a positive to come out this time of year because if they didn't have some ambition it would be logical to wait until next season. 

On the negative side, from a statistical point, the stable doesn't have such great win and place rate with fancies juveniles on their second start. However, the stable do well at Southwell racecourse and all the other positives bring a fair level of interest. If available at each-way price is worth a bet.

Andrew Balding is another trainer who I respect with juveniles on their second start. Dawn Dancer didn't achieve a great deal when making his debut at Nottingham, a 40-1 chance. Could improve for that first start and if priced 9/1 & less SP may have each-way claims. If weak in the market best watched. 

Conclusion: An intriguing race.On The Warpath sets the standard but in ways holds up the price for the likes of G Eye Joe and Dawn Dancer. James Givens' representative is interesting because there are a good few signs indicating he has a level of ability. However, he does need to be fit and ready after a long absence. If priced 13/2 & less SP has each-way claims. If very weak in the market it could be a sign of lack unless Sir Mark Prescott's favourite is just backed to big odds-on. Dawn Dancer is best judged by the betting guide.   

Wednesday, 22 November 2017

5:40 Kempton 2YO Racing Tips (22nd November)

King Power Racing Ltd
We're not talking Templegate's horse racing tips because we only deal with the best racing tips!

My idea of a little bit of fun and testing out keywords in a post to see how it affects traffic. 

I'm not writing a big post here as far too busy and can't really be asked. You know when it comes to racing and successful gambling I need no one. 

A large field for this 7f Novice Stakes. Just one horse which may be of interest although with a short-priced favourite it is, perhaps, unlikely to figure. But that's the thing about betting, you never know until the race is over. To be fair, we will have a very good idea just before the off. 

Read more...

Rux Ruxx is worthy of your attention. Andrew Balding's bay filly, a daughter of Dark Angel, and expensive 2yo breeze-up purchase at 230,000G may prove livelier today. 

Racing in the familiar silks of King Power Racing Ltd, this March foal was fancied to go well on debut at Redcar on soft going back in October. She finished seventh, beaten almost seven-length, never really getting involved. With over twenty days on the sideline and stepping up in trip, connections will be expecting more. The betting is key. If priced 9/1 & less SP I would give this juvenile fair each-way claims. With the favourite possibly a very short price it could well be the case she drifts. A wide draw isn't ideal. The betting will do the talking. If very weak in the betting, take a watching brief. 

Monday, 20 November 2017

Cheltenham November Meeting Review

Splash Of Ginge
Splash of Ginge pulled off a sensational upset for Nigel Twiston-Davies when he romped to victory in the Gold Cup on Saturday. The three-day Cheltenham November Meeting provided plenty of joy for punters as several short-priced favourites landed, but the big race was claimed by a 25/1 outsider.
Splash of Ginge came into the feature race in uninspiring form and was not given much of a chance in the buildup to the Gold Cup. However, the nine-year-old relished the sloppy conditions and scored a fantastic victory ahead of Starchitect and Le Prezien, while favourite Kylemore Lough fell.
Rain lashed the famous racecourse on Saturday, which played right into Splash of Ginge’s hands, but a soggy crowd was not complaining as several popular choices secured victory. Apple’s Shakira, a sister to the famous Apple’s Jade, landed the opening race on Saturday as the even-money favourite, while Black Corton came in at 4/1 for Paul Nicholls in race two. Thomas Campbell won the Listed Regulatory Finance Solutions Handicap Hurdle after going off as the 13/8 favourite, while 9/4 favourite Posh Trish won the final race of the day.
There was joy for a longer shot in the Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap, however, as Coole Cody came in at 25/1. And one city, in particular, will be celebrating after Splash of Ginge’s 25/1 win in the big race. Owner John Neild is a Liverpudlian and trainer Twiston-Davies said: “The whole of Liverpool has turned up, it’s really brilliant.” The Liverpudlian fans cheered on their hero and cashed in their bets, making for a jubilant atmosphere on Saturday.

Neild’s ambition is to give Splash of Ginge a crack at next year’s Grand National – which, of course, is held on Merseyside at Aintree – and he will be interesting to watch in the sports spread betting markets as he will get a lot of attention from Neild’s legions of fans.

A similar pattern emerged on Sunday as several short-priced runners came in at Cheltenham. Melrose Boy, the 11/4 favourite in the Velcourt Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap, set the tone with a dominant victory to start the day. Next up North Hill Harvey landed the Arkle trial at 6/4, ahead of evens favourite River Wylde. North Hill Harvey was well tipped in the buildup to the race and he lived up to the hype with a sensational performance. Dan Skelton’s six-year-old had won the Greatwood at this meeting a year ago and returned to win this Grade 2 contest in dominant fashion, beating the favourite by 18 lengths.

Fox Norton went off as the 4/5 favourite for the Shloer Chase and justified his status by holding off the challenge of Cloudy Dream to secure victory. Special Tiara was expected to cause his stablemate problems, but Fox Norton was far too good for the field and won by eight lengths. He seems destined for greatness and his win was all the more poignant because owner Alan Potts died last week. The longest priced winner on the day was Elgin, who came in at 10/1 in the Greatwood after a thrilling battle with Misterton.

The opening day of the meeting saw Kingswell Theatre claim the Glenfarcas Cross Country Handicap Chase at 14/1 after Cause Of Causes was declared a non-runner. Paul Henderson’s Doitforthevillage delivered on his promise to win the BetVictor Handicap Chase at 13/2. He produced another excellent performance, finishing two lengths clear of Kapstadt, and he too looks like a star of the future.
But the biggest win on Friday went to Finian’s Oscar, the 10/11 favourite in the Steel Plate and Sections Novices’ Chase. He too was racing for the late Potts and produced a scintillating display to win by two lengths.

Finian’s Oscar was a Grade 1 winner over hurdles and has made a seamless transition to fences. He won his debut at Chepstow last month and was lumbered with a 7lb penalty for that win when he lined up for the Steel Plate, but he won comfortably, and expectations will be extremely high for him going forwards. Finian’s Oscar, Doitforthevillage, Fox Norton and North Hill Harvey will now be the ones to beat at the March Festival.

Author bio
Martin Green is an experienced tipster and horse racing correspondent.