Monday, 24 July 2017

1:55 Ayr 2yo Racing Tips (24th July)

Horse Racing Tips
A Novice Stakes race over 6f on good going. 

Nine two-year-olds take part: six have racecourse experience and three debutantes. Five horses feature in the betting and make most appeal. An interesting mix of top-class trainers and leading owners including Cheveley Park Stud. 

The betting suggests this is something of a trappy affair.  

Regulator hails from Richard Fahey's stable in the ownership of Cheveley Park Stud. This bay colt is a son of Acclamation and 105,000G 2yo breeze-up purchase. He made his debut at Beverley over 5f. That looked a pretty stiff race. A few horses, including the winner, will make their presence felt including Savalas, Albert Street & Bath And Tennis. Regulator was relatively fancied that day and ran a sterling race considering he was green, pushed along and encountered trouble in running. The victor, Ghayadh, wasn't disgraced second start when stepping up in distance and burdened with a penalty. Regulator will appreciate this extra furlong and likely to improve for that first start. Considering that effort looks up to winning standard, this second start should see an improved performance. 

Michael Dods has been in good form this season with a number of two-year-olds winning. Rossall raced just over a couple of weeks back at Beverley over 5f. This February foal was made favourite that day. This son of Mayson races in the familiar silks of David Armstrong. Rossall was unlucky that day and it is most likely a significant sign he went off the favourite. This step up in distance will be to his liking and a major player especially if starting at the head of the betting. 

Kevin Ryan fields the once-raced Jungle Room. This American-bred son of Violence cost 210,000G when purchased at two this April. He started his career racing at Doncaster over six and a half furlongs. Pretty fancied in the betting, Jamie Spencer was in the saddle. A slow start scuppered his chance although not disgraced when beaten just over eight lengths behind Wasim who made a bold fist of things when racing on his second start carrying a penalty. The form of Jungle Room's debut is respectable. In many respects, that first effort is probably best forgotten or used a s a basic guide to what may be seen today. I would expect a professional performance. 

Tough Remedy is a capable colt. Sired by Tough As Nails, he was a bargain buy at just £13,000. He went close to winning on debut when unfancied in the betting. He frustrated jockey and backers second start at Hamilton when running on all too late after being a fraction outpaced and finding trouble in running. Racing over 5f proved his Achilles Heel when made favourite at Carlisle. The form of that race is fair but punters were pulling their hair out as once more the insufficient trip gave little hope of victory. Keith Dalgleish has finally relented and taking this extra furlong will be the making of this horse. He holds claims although this could be a stiffer contest. 

Mark Johnston has Indian Admiral making his debut in the ownership of Abdulla Al Mansoori. This chestnut son of Sepoy cost 55,000G when purchased at the yearling sale. Kingsley House Stables are perennially in form although this is a hot race to start his career. I am often quoted as saying Jonhston's debutante are either easy winners or poor losers. I find the stable difficult to call with horses making their racecourse bow unless starting very short odds. An interesting horse to add to the mix but he will need to be smart to win this at the first time of asking.

Conclusion: Four major hopes and Johnston's colt which may or may not fly. Regulator, Rossall & Jungle Room hold claims on basic statistics. In some respects, all didn't go well for them on debut. Regulator will go well and the most likely. Jungle Room cost a lot of money and I'm sure much better will be expected and seen today. Tough Remedy has finally got a decent chance with this step up to 6f. In truth, he is unlucky not to have won. It might be sod's law that he finds this a hot contest. I would be looking for the each-way bet if anything here rather than going in at short odds. It could turn out to be a hard race to win. 

Monday, 17 July 2017

6:20 Windsor 2YO Racing Tips (17th July) British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Class 5) (2yo)

Dr Johnny Hon
An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f 21y on good going. 

Eleven two-year-olds take part: seven with racecourse experience and four debutantes. The betting suggests there are five major contenders which make for a fascinating race. 

Drawn in stall 1 we have Airshow who is has raced four times with a mix of good, bad and indifferent performances. I made up the indifferent part for poetic prose. Make no mistake Rod Millman rates this son of Showcasing. In truth, this chestnut gelding has been unlucky not to have lost his maiden tag but for finding a couple of smart performers in his last two starts at Chepstow when runner-up behind Klosters and the talent that is Barranquerro. 

Airshow has enough ability to win and has another opportunity. The most interesting aspect here is the drop back to the minimum trip. He has shown ample pace in his last two starts although there is a marked difference between these trips. If able to lead from this low draw it would be a plus. There is a possibility he could be a touch outpaced but running on with verve. 


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Interesting. 

Expecting has valuable course and distance experience. This son of Bated Breath is a good-looking colt and 90,000G yearling purchase. The form of his debut over 6f has been franked. Once again, this February foal wasn't disgraced when making a return this time racing over 5f in what turned out to be a fair race. A wide draw isn't the best starting point although Charlie Hills' youngster is fast so it will be no surprise to see him attempt to get to the rail. 

Andrew Balding knows his two-year-olds and although he hasn't been in the form of previous years he is a trainer to be respected with juveniles on their second start. Golden Salute was fancied in the betting on debut at Windsor when racing over 6f. He faced a stiff opponent in Clive Cox's Grand Zoonta who started 1/2f and crushed the field with a strong final furlong winning well. In some respects, finishing 7th beaten eight lengths was something of a disappointment. The ground was on the soft side which may have been a reason, disappointing or he could have been in need of the run. Connections are dropping back to the minimum trip which may be a telling move. I wouldn't lose hope because this colt has respectable win and place claims if fancied in the betting. 

A couple of debutantes are worthy of respect. 

It is worth noting that these juveniles will need to be smart and primed to beat opponents who have proven ability. 

William Haggas has plenty a quality string of juveniles and bookmakers are generally careful when pricing his horse on their first start. It is wise to let the betting settle rather than jump in with both feet unless you know for a fact this horse has ability or likely to be backed. 

Awesometank is a son of Intense Focus and not the most expensive filly when purchased for 25,000G as a foal. It will be interesting to see how she figures in the betting. The stable's juveniles have respectable win and place claims when priced 13/2 & less SP although a good number are better for the race. This course isn't the best starting point if slow from the stalls. She will need to be decent to win this on debut. 

Gay Kelleway was quoted earlier in the season as having some ''bigger'' owners and I am pretty sure she was referring to Dr Johnny Hon. Global Rose is definitely one of the stable's better two-year-olds if not the best. I would consider this daughter of Dark Angel has been showing up very well on the gallops. She cost 135,000E when purchased at the breeze-up sales in May. A relatively wide draw isn't ideal. Kelleway can ready a two-year-old to win on its racecourse bow and I imagine this youngster will be primed to show her stuff. Even saying that it will take a fair talent to defy a number of speedy opponents. 

Conclusion: An intriguing race. A couple of debutantes are well found in the betting against form horses who set a decent level. 

Airshow has ability. If not struggling to go the pace, will have sound each-way claims. Dropping back to the minimum trip may blunt his abundant pace. If outpaced, he will finish with a vigour. It may be a blessing if this is run at a frantic pace. 

Expecting may try to lead. A wide draw may force the hand of Buick. This horse has been a touch keen so it could be a positive if stealing an easy lead. 

Golden Salute needs to improve after his debut. I suspect connections expected more that day and there could have been a reason for a lacklustre showing. Balding must feel this drop to the minimum trip is a positive move although it is difficult to say from that first start. From a betting point of view, this colt has decent each-way claims. It is one of the reasons why I think an improved performance may be seen.

Awesometank hails from a smart stable but not the most expensive of purchases. She will need to be a talent to defy these more experienced horses. I would let the market settle just in case she is a marked drifter in the betting. I would rather take a watching brief if short odds. 

Global Rose is interesting. A filly against a field of mostly colts and on a debutante makes life hard. She will need to be a lively type to start on terms. I am pretty sure this daughter of Dark Angel has a fair level of ability and will be fit and ready to roll. Whether I would want to bet her to win is open to question, but I would fear her as an opponent if betting on a form horse. A tricky race. 

Thursday, 13 July 2017

Thursday's Racing Tips (13th July)

George Scott Horse Trainer
2:10 Doncaster - 

James Garfield is held in high regard and proven a real talent with his third at Royal Ascot. George Scott will be looking to get an easy win here and then take more Group race engagements. 

4:05 Newmarket - 

Richard Fahey has a string of talented juveniles and Maybride made a great introduction before disappointing at Royal Ascot. This filly is capable of much better and should go well here. 

5:55 Newbury - 

Eve Johnson Houghton is an astute trainer and Optimum Time ran out a convincing winner on debut before trailing home in the Chesham Stakes Listed Race at Royal Ascot. This is a drop in class and distance. Connections will be hoping for a bold show here. 

6:30 Newbury - 

Denis Coakley does well with a small string of two-year-olds and capable of springing a surprise. That was the case with Electric Landlady when winning at 20/1. Another filly to have been set a hard task when competing at Group 3 level last time out. Interesting to see how she fares in this lower class.

6:40 Epsom - 

George Baker hasn't achieved a great deal with his two-year-olds this season. Chess Move cost a good deal of money and owned by Sir Alex Furgeson. He showed a glimmer of ability on debut although that was a poor race in ways. This son of Kodiac is likely to improve for that first start and could have a fighting chance. From a statistical point of view, this colt has much better claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. I find this stable win or their horses are unplaced so you may be wise to go for a straight win if fancying this juvenile. 

Wednesday, 12 July 2017

2:00 Yarmouth Racing tips (12th July) Novice Auction Stakes (Class 5) (2yo)

David Armstrong Racing Silks
A Novice Auction Stakes over 5f  42y on good to firm going. 

Just five two-year-olds take part: three with race experience, including two winners, and two debutantes. 

Chatburn is trained by David O'Meara in the familiar silks of David Armstrong. This bay colt is a son of Dream Ahead and purchased for just £12,000 at the yearling sales. An exceptional buy. This March foal has been a consistent juvenile displaying ample speed. He is proven to be a talent over this minimum trip and has the pace to make average horses come out in a sweat. With an official rating of 82 he sets a fair standard for these to aim. The win penalty is the major point of contention. Will it take its toll? 

John Ryan is a talented trainer who does well at this course. He has a decent string of juveniles this season which adds to confidence. *Pranceabootthetoon did just that when starting his career at Brighton over 6f. This chestnut son of Sir Prancealot was another inspired purchase at the breeze-up sales for just 15,000G. He wasn't overly fancied in the betting on debut but won in ready fashion over a previous winner. The third horse has franked the form by hitting the frame next start. A win penalty is negated by the use of an apprentice. That may be a wise move. This isn't the easiest horse to assess but a ready victory is worthy of praise. It will be interesting how he shapes up dropping down in distance. There is a marked difference in the pace between five and six furlongs. He may have the pace to hold steady but there is always a chance he could be outpaced in the early stages.

One handler who doesn't have many two-year-olds in his string is John Butler.  However, the stable always held Haveoneyerself in some regard. This son of Requinto was earmarked for the Lily Agnes Stakes at Chester but made his debut at the course in a stiff Maiden when showing promise to finish fifth. He ran a respectable race when finishing second to the talent Dahik. Recently losing out by a head at Hamilton when clear of the third. In truth, that race fell apart with the two favourites regressing but this bonny colt has just about enough ability to win a small race. He has the advantage of not shouldering a win penalty like the leading contenders.   

The two debutants will need to be fair talents to win here. Kevin Ryan is an infrequent visitor to the course and a trainer whose two-year-old debutantes usually start at 13/2 & less SP. They can win on debut. Fyre Cay cost just £12,000 when purchased at two in April. It looks like the stable sent him back to the breeze-up sales in July but wasn't sold. That brings something of a question mark. It may suggest they were looking for a quick profit or just get rid. One of three rides for Jamie Spencer on the card. Unless seriously backed, I would take a watching brief. 

Interesting to see what Fortunate Vision can do on his debut. To be fair, David Brown has had a pretty poor time with this season's two-year-olds. Very few have registered as having much ability which can have a knock-on effect to the whole string. This son of Libranno was noted earlier in the season as having ability. A very cheap yearling purchase by the trainer for just £2,800. That doesn't inspire confidence. What is intriguing to note is the fact this horse has been entered to run a couple of times but withdrawn when poorly drawn. That aspect is interesting because it could be interpreted as having ability. If it was talentless why would they worry about a wide birth? At least that information details we are dealing with a fit horse who has been ready to roll for some time. 

Conclusion: A restricted race type which usually goes to horses with form. Certainly, the two debutantes will need to be primed and feature a decent level of ability even if the previous winners have to shoulder win penalties.  It is interesting to see if Fortunate Vision is held in some regard by connections. It isn't beyond the realms but it may be a red herring. The only blessing for those who like a speculative punt is that you will get a price. I would have to take a watching brief but intrigued. Haveoneyerself has ability but may find the two favourites tough nuts to crack. He is a likeable colt who will battle hard and he gets in at a decent weight. I just wonder if something will be a little too good. The two favourites are decent juveniles for this grade. They have to defy win penalties which isn't the easiest of tasks. Pranceabootthetoon has a seven-pound apprentice to try and negate that burden. That may be a good move. I just wonder if this drop back in distance will be suiting. It may be the making of the horse but he could find this run at a frantic pace and if not up to speed could be outpaced. That isn't good news over this minimum trip or at this course which isn't the easiest to peg back those who achieve an easy lead. Chatburn is the most proven horse and an out and out sprinter. If connections think a few of these will struggle for pace or ring rusty they will try to gain a nice lead and hang on for grim death.This colt is fast, sturdy and strong. If betting, I would go with him in favour of the field. A win penalty does make life harder and although respecting his chances I wouldn't be betting at short odds. On balance, I would take a watching brief.

*NR

Thursday, 6 July 2017

Thursday's Racing Tips (6th July)

Racecourse Directory
1:50 Yarmouth - 

A quick look at these. Gotti is held in some regard by Jeremy Noseda (as we said before his debut) and proved victorious at Windsor last time out over 5f. This son of More Than Ready is a lazy beast, but this extra yardage should see him settle a little easier in the first few furlongs. Carrying a win penalty will make this much harder. His only hope is finding marked improvement for this sixth furlong but I would need each-way odds to bet on this horse. 

Hey Gaman is held in high regard by James Tate and been well entered up. He was narrowly foiled on debut at Leicester and then pretty fancied in the betting for the Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) at Royal Ascot. This son of New Approach was much too keen and ruined any chance. He is a fair juvenile and it will take a decent horse to beat him. If drifting to each-way prices I'd but interested. 

Hugo Palmer usually has an ace up his sleeve. Arbalet hasn't received any significant entries as yet but odds-on to do so sooner rather than later. This son of Dark Angel cost 370,000E as a foal. The stable's juveniles go very well on their second start. If this colt hadn't been slow away on debut at York, he would have most likely won. 

City Guest looked pedestrian on his first two starts before showing promise third time out at Brighton when hitting the frame at 66/1. He had little hope when racing at Royal Ascot towards the back of the field in the Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race). This extra furlong should help. 

Conclusion: A competitive heat. Arbalet will take some beating but will need to be a fair juvenile to waltz past Hey Gaman. Gotti has won a race which most horses do not. He is a lazy type and will enjoy this extra furlong. I do have slight reservations that he isn't up to the standard of the two mentioned and with the win penalty it could be a thunderous burden. I definitely wouldn't back this horse unless an each-way price and to be honest even if that was the case I feel he needs to find a marked improvement to defy the weight. City Guest looks to have his work cut out and best watched. The only bet I would feel optimistic about is if Hey Gaman touched each-way odds. 

NR: City Guest 

2:30 Haydock -

Just the one significantly entered two-year-old here. Kevin Ryan has Vj Day after being a beaten favourite at York on debut. This son of War Front has to contend with a couple of winners although they have to shoulder a win penalty. On entries, this $250,000 yearling purchase looks to be one of the trainers better juveniles. This brown colt will need to go well to justify future plans.

Tuesday, 4 July 2017

6:40 Chepstow 2YO Racing Tips (4th July) EBF Stallions Novice Stakes

Horse Racing from Sky Equine
Airshow is held in fair regard by Rod Millman. I mentioned this son of Showcasing last time out over course and distance. This April foal was entered for the Brocklesby although made his debut at Leicester where he ran well after a slow start to finish a respectable third. There was an issue second start because the stable expected a bold show. He disappointed. Although returning 12/1 last time out over course and distance, there was money for this juvenile on exchanges after he drifted to almost ridiculous odds and backed with real verve in a matter of minutes. Viewers of ATR may have heard the presenter chatting with Roger Charlton that Millman likes his horse. I can imagine Millman was disappointed they didn't get that win although they were clearly defeated by a fair juvenile in Kloster. I can see Airshow running well and has each-way claims. 

Find all the latest information about Chepstow Racecourse here. 

Barraquero ran well on debut and looks a tough nut to crack although will start at short odds. 

Roger Charlton fields Dream Prospect who was relatively fancied on debut at Sandown. That was over 5f and this son of Invincible Spirit ran well enough after dwelling at the start. Sandown is a difficult course to shine on debut. Better should be expected over this extra furlong. From a statistical point of view, this horse has decent win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. 

Charles Hills has a few talents this season. *Expecting, a son of Bated Breath, is a good-looking colt. He ran well on debut over 6f at Windsor when a big price. He was short of room in the closing stages but ran well. Dropped to the minimum trip at the same course on his second start, he ran a sound race to be outpointed in the closing stage after leading for most. There were a few fair juveniles in that race and it was no disappointment to lose by less than two lengths. Expecting steps back up in distance which shouldn't be a problem although he is a lively type who looks a touch temperamental and may have a tendency to pull now stepping back up in trip. 

Liva ran at Newbury on debut. That race has been franked by many horses and he has not been seen for well over one month. 

Henry Candy has been very quiet this two-year-old season with a couple of horses to hit the track. Sarstedt is a son of Sixties Icon and part owned by Candy and David Altham. A relatively cheap yearling purchase at just £16,000. The betting is the best guide. If priced 13/2 & less SP would be of interest. 

Conclusion: Just one horse with a significant entry and that is Airshow. I can see Millman's juvenile going well and has fair each-way claims. He is a straightforward horse who has plenty of pace and will travel well if not slightly prone to a good horse at the finish. I would hope he drifts in the betting which would give a little more value. I think Airshow has sound claims but this looks a competitive race which makes me feel that something will prove better. 

*NR

Monday, 3 July 2017

4:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (3rd July) British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes

Denford Stud
Been very busy of late hence a lack of posts last week. I will try to write a few posts this week and get off to a positive start here. 

An EBF Novice Stakes over 7f  36y on standard gong. 

Nine two-year-olds entered, four with race experience and a couple of winners. 

Tunes Of Glory was a rare debut winner for Sir Mark Prescott when taking a narrow victory at Lingfield. This bay colt is a son of Lope De Vega, owned and bred by Denford Stud. This April foal wasn't overly fancied in the betting which suggested to me connections didn't expect the win. Very few of their debutantes win at double-figure odds unless they are top class. Time may tell this bay has a touch of class. I am pretty sure that debut win came because the race fell apart with the odds-on favourite disappointing. This step up in distance will be much more to this horse's liking. A penalty will make life difficult. If priced 13/2 & less SP has respectable claims. He will need to be a talent to prevail.

One trainer who never lets the grass grow under his feet is Richard Fahey. Indomeneo ran behind subsequent Royal Ascot winner Rajasinghe by four lengths and battled hard to win at Wetherby second start. For an auction race, that was a pretty stiff contest. This son of Piccolo knows how to battle and a prime draw will most likely see a bold front-running display. He, too, has to carry a winner's penalty which is negated to some extent by an able apprentice jockey allowance. 

Another major contender is Ed Dunlop's Global Humor who I suspect connection were pretty convinced they would enjoy a tidy victory at Newcastle. This son of Distorted Humor cost 300,000G at two. He was fancied to win on debut. The 11/8f raced a touch wide and finished third. He lost little in defeat, just bumping into a couple of smart juveniles. On any other day, Dr Johnny Hon's horse would have tasted victory. Interesting to see Global Humor is stepping up to 7f. Let's hope he isn't a touch keen after facing the minimum trip on his racecourse bow, which can happen when increasing a trip by two furlongs. The trainer has a good record at this course. As long as he isn't too keen, I would expect a big run from this horse. 

Tom Dascombe's Kraka was fancied in the betting at 4/1 when making his debut at Haydock, a course the trainer does very well. This son of Dark Angel cost 130,000E at the yearling sales. A slow start, inexperience and trouble in running, gave the impression things just didn't go to plan. If they hold any hope of winning, I would expect this colt to be backed. That was a fair race on debut and to start relatively short odds suggests there will be better to come.

The others will need to show a fair level of ability to win this on debut and best watched. 

Conclusion: Intriguing race. I must admit, Global Humor catches the eye and if drifting to each-way prices would be a selection. The step up in distance is most likely a positive although stepping up from 5f to 7f does sometimes make horses a touch keen. With being off course for just over one month he should be fine. It was a surprise to see Tunes Of Gold winning on debut. It either suggests a below-standard race or a talented juvenile. I'm not quite sure what to think at this moment although this step up in distance is a favourable move. The winning penalty makes life difficult but if proving victorious here I would suspect we have a class juvenile. Indomeneo is a battling type. I thought he ran well last time because for an auction race it was a tough race. Kraka is worth watching in the betting. If you are betting I would suggest you take the early prices because if connections think they have a chance I can't see this runner starting at 10/1. I would go with Global Humor if touching each-way odds but I very much doubt that will happen. 

See more thoughts at Patient Speculation.


Thursday, 22 June 2017

Thursday's Racing Tips


Thursday 22nd June

1:50 Chelmsford - 

Central City is proving frustrating, beaten on all three starts to date for Hugo Palmer. To be fair, this son of Kodiac has run respectably on each start including a fine effort in the Lily Agnes Stakes. His debut effort at Doncaster reads well. A third at Chester is worthy of praise. His most recent contest saw him beaten by a talented juvenile in Great Prospector. Richard Fahey's charge will be racing at Group class. Third best Kit Marlow is a fair sort. He and Central City led that day. Both may have gone a stride too fast. 

This is a drop in class, being an auction race and a return to the minimum trip is a positive. The application of blinkers looks unnecessary, but I guess Palmer is trying every angle too win. 

There is a concern that a horse may regress after a few hard races and that is a possibility with Central City and needs to be factored into the price. 

Ed Walker's Simpson doesn't hold any Group race entries at present but likely to do so in the near future. This son of Dragon Pulse was well-backed on debut and ran a sterling race. 

The winners is a fair horse for the grade and Simpson was clear of the third. This drop back in distance shouldn't be a problem although the pace between five and six furlongs can be significant. 

From a statistical point of view, this horse has sound claims. 

In conclusion, I expect both horses to run well. There is a slight concern that Central City may regress at some point and invariably be a short price when doing so. Simpson will run his race and more guaranteed. At the odds, I can't see how you can make much use of these horses. You could go bet on both but that is often a hard way of making money. You only need one horse to pop up with ability. They look the type to put in an each-way double.       

6:20 Lingfield -  

George Baker has been very quiet this season with his two-year-olds and proven limited so far. Chess Move was noted by the trainer earlier this season which gives some hope. 

Interesting to note this bay colt is owned by Sir Alex Ferguson. 

This son of Kodiac cost 120,000G at the yearling sales. Baker doesn't have many juveniles in training and this is a significant purchase for the stable. The stable, in general, has a poor strike rate with debutantes. In fact, he is often very poor. Baker has won with debutantes but these are often exceptionally well backed. Ferguson's horses are often supported in the market is fancied to go well. You could bet early and anticipate a gamble which could put you in a good position to lay off to a no-lose bet if using the exchanges.I would let the market tell the story. Even if well backed I would tend to be reserved with this stable because I have seen a few at short prices on debut look very inexperienced. If backed to crazy short odds (1/1) it would be a huge pointer but at those odds, I wouldn't get involved. The only angle I can see is betting and hope he is backed to shorter odds. However, you are kind of betting a horse will be gambled rather than whether you actually think it can win.

Move Over has been noted by Richard Hannon. He ran a fair race on debut. Bookmakers are giving little away at 11/10. 

Tuesday, 20 June 2017

5:40 Brighton 2YO Racing Tips (20th June) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes (Class 5)

2yo horse racing tps
Tuesday 20th June

5:40 Brighton - 


Alaska has been knocking on the door and gone close in all three starts to date. A Windsor Castle Listed Race entry details Sylvester Kirk holds her in some regard. Dragon's Teeth disappointed in the Brocklesby Stakes. He held an engagement for the Lily Agnes but didn't take it. This son of Dragon Pulse found himself in a very strong Novice Stakes at Haydock on soft ground and trailed home many lengths behind. He is best judged on his second at Kempton. Jo Hughes' charge has plenty of pace but limited in some respects. This idiosyncratic course may suit.   


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Monday, 19 June 2017

Monday's Racing Tip (19th June)

2yo horse racing tips
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6:15 Windsor - 

Gotti is interesting. In truth, I was expecting more when he ran at Brighton on debut. In his defence, the form of that race is working out well. The winner, second & third have been entered for Royal Ascot so by general course standards it seems as though he bumped into a few fair types. The blinkers have been removed. It's the only ride for Gerald Mosse. He is probably retained by the owners. He drops back to 5f which is a slight concern considering he struggled to go the pace over five and a half furlongs on debut. That may have been due to inexperience but it is a concern. He looked a touch lazy. A wide draw, again, isn't ideal. However, he still holds an entry for the Railway Stakes Group 2 (Ireland). That experience must help see a more professional display. From a statistical point of view, he holds decent win and place claims. I still feel a slight niggling doubt as to whether he will be outpaced in the early stages before running on at the death. For exchange players, you may get much bigger odds in-running.   

Interesting to note that David Evans has Time For Wine entered to run at Royal Ascot in the Albany Stakes Group 3. She cost 20,000E and presently priced 20/1 for this contest [Windsor]. Sometimes trainers enter horses from Royal Ascot simply for a day out or to get owner's and trainer's badges. Only time will tell if this is the reason for such an entry. If she has an abundance of ability, I would expect to see her heavily backed. 

6:45 Windsor - 

Quick Skips Lad held an entry for the Brocklesby Stakes. He is a consistent, battling horse. He was beaten by a fair animal at plating class when behind Milton Road, who wasn't disgraced in the SKF Rous Selling Stakes at York [worth almost £10,000]. Stan Moore must be confident Quick Skips Lad can win at this level. He steps up in distance which may be ok. There is always a slight concern when a horse changes trip, although he looks a fair prospect of getting this extra furlong. It is often a plus to finish a race at this level rather than blast a trail and fold in the closing stages. From a low draw, he may lead. This gelding should win. At 2/1 I'd take a watching brief just because this extra furlong is an unknown. He may improve for this stiffer task.I would rather see him race over 5f.