Wednesday, 22 November 2017

5:40 Kempton 2YO Racing Tips (22nd November)

King Power Racing Ltd
We're not talking Templegate's horse racing tips because we only deal with the best racing tips!

My idea of a little bit of fun and testing out keywords in a post to see how it affects traffic. 

I'm not writing a big post here as far too busy and can't really be asked. You know when it comes to racing and successful gambling I need no one. 

A large field for this 7f Novice Stakes. Just one horse which may be of interest although with a short-priced favourite it is, perhaps, unlikely to figure. But that's the thing about betting, you never know until the race is over. To be fair, we will have a very good idea just before the off. 

Read more...

Rux Ruxx is worthy of your attention. Andrew Balding's bay filly, a daughter of Dark Angel, and expensive 2yo breeze-up purchase at 230,000G may prove livelier today. 

Racing in the familiar silks of King Power Racing Ltd, this March foal was fancied to go well on debut at Redcar on soft going back in October. She finished seventh, beaten almost seven-length, never really getting involved. With over twenty days on the sideline and stepping up in trip, connections will be expecting more. The betting is key. If priced 9/1 & less SP I would give this juvenile fair each-way claims. With the favourite possibly a very short price it could well be the case she drifts. A wide draw isn't ideal. The betting will do the talking. If very weak in the betting, take a watching brief. 

Monday, 20 November 2017

Cheltenham November Meeting Review

Splash Of Ginge
Splash of Ginge pulled off a sensational upset for Nigel Twiston-Davies when he romped to victory in the Gold Cup on Saturday. The three-day Cheltenham November Meeting provided plenty of joy for punters as several short-priced favourites landed, but the big race was claimed by a 25/1 outsider.
Splash of Ginge came into the feature race in uninspiring form and was not given much of a chance in the buildup to the Gold Cup. However, the nine-year-old relished the sloppy conditions and scored a fantastic victory ahead of Starchitect and Le Prezien, while favourite Kylemore Lough fell.
Rain lashed the famous racecourse on Saturday, which played right into Splash of Ginge’s hands, but a soggy crowd was not complaining as several popular choices secured victory. Apple’s Shakira, a sister to the famous Apple’s Jade, landed the opening race on Saturday as the even-money favourite, while Black Corton came in at 4/1 for Paul Nicholls in race two. Thomas Campbell won the Listed Regulatory Finance Solutions Handicap Hurdle after going off as the 13/8 favourite, while 9/4 favourite Posh Trish won the final race of the day.
There was joy for a longer shot in the Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap, however, as Coole Cody came in at 25/1. And one city, in particular, will be celebrating after Splash of Ginge’s 25/1 win in the big race. Owner John Neild is a Liverpudlian and trainer Twiston-Davies said: “The whole of Liverpool has turned up, it’s really brilliant.” The Liverpudlian fans cheered on their hero and cashed in their bets, making for a jubilant atmosphere on Saturday.

Neild’s ambition is to give Splash of Ginge a crack at next year’s Grand National – which, of course, is held on Merseyside at Aintree – and he will be interesting to watch in the sports spread betting markets as he will get a lot of attention from Neild’s legions of fans.

A similar pattern emerged on Sunday as several short-priced runners came in at Cheltenham. Melrose Boy, the 11/4 favourite in the Velcourt Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap, set the tone with a dominant victory to start the day. Next up North Hill Harvey landed the Arkle trial at 6/4, ahead of evens favourite River Wylde. North Hill Harvey was well tipped in the buildup to the race and he lived up to the hype with a sensational performance. Dan Skelton’s six-year-old had won the Greatwood at this meeting a year ago and returned to win this Grade 2 contest in dominant fashion, beating the favourite by 18 lengths.

Fox Norton went off as the 4/5 favourite for the Shloer Chase and justified his status by holding off the challenge of Cloudy Dream to secure victory. Special Tiara was expected to cause his stablemate problems, but Fox Norton was far too good for the field and won by eight lengths. He seems destined for greatness and his win was all the more poignant because owner Alan Potts died last week. The longest priced winner on the day was Elgin, who came in at 10/1 in the Greatwood after a thrilling battle with Misterton.

The opening day of the meeting saw Kingswell Theatre claim the Glenfarcas Cross Country Handicap Chase at 14/1 after Cause Of Causes was declared a non-runner. Paul Henderson’s Doitforthevillage delivered on his promise to win the BetVictor Handicap Chase at 13/2. He produced another excellent performance, finishing two lengths clear of Kapstadt, and he too looks like a star of the future.
But the biggest win on Friday went to Finian’s Oscar, the 10/11 favourite in the Steel Plate and Sections Novices’ Chase. He too was racing for the late Potts and produced a scintillating display to win by two lengths.

Finian’s Oscar was a Grade 1 winner over hurdles and has made a seamless transition to fences. He won his debut at Chepstow last month and was lumbered with a 7lb penalty for that win when he lined up for the Steel Plate, but he won comfortably, and expectations will be extremely high for him going forwards. Finian’s Oscar, Doitforthevillage, Fox Norton and North Hill Harvey will now be the ones to beat at the March Festival.

Author bio
Martin Green is an experienced tipster and horse racing correspondent.




Saturday, 18 November 2017

Saturday's Racing Tips (18th November)

Professional Racing Tips
11:55 Lingfield: 

Rusper has very good place claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. Best watched if outside this betting guide. Aiya may have a chance at big odds. Balding's colt looks poor on form and doesn't enthuse hope but the stats suggest this one was meant to run a big race in his second start. Could show more at 16/1 but a speculative bet.  

6:45 Wolverhampton - 

Highland Sky showed little on debut but held in some regard. Would have sound each-way claims if backed to 13/2 & less SP. May go well outside this guide and worth noting in the betting. If backed could be seriously backed.    

7:15 Wolverhampton - 

Interesting to note Cirrus Minor. Huge price on debut when running well to finish second place. Holds respectable each-way claims. 

7:45 Wolverhampton - 

Looks a competitive heat with a couple of noted juveniles on the group-entry front. Rizzle Dizzle is worth noting in the betting and if priced 13/2 & less SP has decent each-way claims. Maybe outside this guide but time will tell. I wouldn't be in a hurry to bet big here with Sooda and Two Weeks definitely fair opponents. 

Join Professional Gambler's Mailing List for something better than your average tripe.

Thursday, 16 November 2017

Thursday's Racing Tips | II Primo Sole Racing at Chelmsford

Not a great deal of time to muse. 

I'll keep this brief. The following two-year-olds have been pinpointed by out superb website Group Horse, which basically detailed the best horses in training for handlers large and small. Take a look at the website and join our free mailing list which is the free version of a subscription website which cost almost £500 per annum. 

So let's take a look a tomorrow's trio.

5:55 Chelmsford - 

As the title of the post exclaims, we have one horse on our radar. II Primo Sole made a big impression when cruising past his rivals when making his debut at Yarmouth. There seemed to be no limit to this son of Raven's Pass, trained by John Gosden, in the ownership of Mr & Mrs Leoni Sceti. This two-year-old breeze-purchase cost a measly £55,000. I could imagine Godolphin would have been willing to have paid £1000,000 after this bay colt demolished the opposition by over four lengths. In truth, he hasn't done much wrong in his latest two starts. I know losing at 4/7f on two occasions doesn't fill your pockets with wonga but the factor of decent opposition, and, particularly, a weight penalty has dragged him down a notch or two. Runner-up to Wafy at Sandown. Charlie Hills' may have looked like a poor juvenile on his debut but he was anything but. II Primo Sole's defeat was not as bad as it looked. Next start proved a horror show. A turning 7f at Lingfield. A wide draw and hold-up tactics, then short of room, meant an uphill challenge and he ran on very well but there wasn't enough real estate. What do we make of this return? Well, a wide draw isn't the best starting point. A winner's penalty sees him burdened with an extra 7lb. It will be interesting to see if Havlin tries to get to the rail or settle in behind. It may be the case he is settled in behind as darting for the rail can be a killer move if failing to hit the lead and pushed wide on the bend. That would be a disaster. 

NR: II Primo Sole 

With two major fancies [Jahaafel & Strange Society] unraced, but better draw, it will be an intriguing contest. Turning courses can be very tricky for debutantes so they may well have their own issues. 

The other hope in the betting is the once-raced Music Society. However, Kirk's Irish-bred son of Societ Rock hasn't been seen for over 100 days but troubled with a wide draw. 

Conclusion: An intriguing but tricky race. The class horse is II Primo Sole. He has been defeated twice since a remarkable debut. The burden of a winner's penalty has been something of a millstone around his neck. A wide draw on a turning course is a concern. At short odds, I would have to take a watching brief. I'd rather see this colt over a straight mile. The debutantes will need to be smart to prevail. They will have issues with this turning course and unlikely to be given a hard time. Strange Society is priced at the time of writing as though needing the run. if very weak in the betting, best watched. I guess Music Society will benefit from this step up in distance and could try to lead. I'll be looking at the favourite to get back to winning ways but couldn't bet at short odds. 

6:25 Chelmsford - 

A lowly nursery 0-65 rated handicap. Blessed To Empress won on debut but struggled to be competitive in ways. This bay filly was a touch unlucky last time out when De Sousa was checked more times than an old episode of Blankety Blank. Should go better today and be of interest if drifting to an each-way price. 

6:55 Chelmsford - 

A big old field with a short-priced favourite, Perfection, who is making her debut for John Gosden. Dance Me has been noted by Sylvester Kirk and ran well on debut. She was relatively fancied last time out at Chelmsford when fourth behind a fair horse in Bath And Tennis when defeated by just under two lengths. She will improve for this step up in distance and may go ok at 25/1 for a small each-way bet. 
    
NR: Dance Me

The History of Antigua | 5 Things to do in Antigua

Jolly Harbour
I haven't travelled much beyond the UK.   

Well, that is likely to change in the very near future because I've been invited to stay in West Palm Beach, Florida, United States. Looking forward to living the life of Americano, blue jeans and chinos. 

It's funny how holiday destinations come to mind from vicarious routes, not so much from flicking through brochures but the people we meet. My good friend has travelled widely and runs the excellent website Best Antigua

I feel I have learned much about this tropical paradise and, who knows, I may well go there myself. 

I think the best way to learn about a new holiday destination is to investigate. I haven't any knowledge of the history of Antigua so I thought I would appreciate the history of this idyllic island retreat with a little research. 

Antigua

Firstly, Antigua is an island in the West Indies, known by the local population as Wadadli. It is one of the Leeward Islands in the Caribbean. Did you know Antigua and Barbuda became independent within the Commonwealth of nations on 1st November 1981? 

The name Antigua means ''ancient'' in Spanish, relating to an icon found in the Seville Cathedral.    

Interesting Antigua:


  • The island is roughly 87 km in circumference  
  • Population of 80,161 (2011 consensus)
  • Economy is reliant on tourism and agriculture
  • 32000 live in the capital St John's 
  • English Harbour called Nelson's Dockyard (after Lord Nelson) 

English Harbour

On the south-eastern coast is a noted destination for its yachting and sailing. In fact, at the end of April - the beginning of May the Antigua Sailing Week holds the annual world-class regatta.   

Antigua Economy 

Antigua is reliant on tourism and known as a luxury Caribbean escape. The island has a single airport. The official currency is the East Caribbean dollar although many prices are shown in US dollars. 

Early Antiguan History

Originally the homeland for the Guanahatabey people. Christopher Columbus was the first European to visit in 1493.

The first people to settle in Antigua were the Arawaks who migrated to the island by canoe from Venezuela. 

Christopher Columbus

Named the island ''Antigua'' in 1493 in honour of the ''Virgin of the old cathedral'' in Saville, Spain. It was known as Britain's ''Gateway to the Caribbean''. Lord Nelson, a famous figure in Antiguan history, arrived in the 18th century to preserve the commercial shipping routes. 

Antigua Sport

Cricket is a leading sport in Antigua. In fact, Vivian Richards came from this Caribbean island, playing for the West Indies, captain of the team. There are a number of golf courses in Antigua, while football and basketball are becoming more popular. 

However, sailing is one of the most popular sports hosting the Antigua Sailing Week and Antigua Classic Yacht Regatta. Hundreds of yachts arrive from across the world. 

Also, it's a great haven for sports fishing, featuring many big competitions. Windsurfing is a popular attraction although in recent years kite-surfing has surpassed this activity. Kite-surfing or kite-boarding is a regular sight at Jabbawock Beach. You may be familiar with Andre Phillip who is one of the major names in kite-surfing and resident of the island. Barduba is a popular destination too. 

Wildlife

If you love wildlife, Antigua is home to one of the rarest snakes in the world, the Antiguan racer. This harmless reptile, which was close to extinction with just 50 left at one time, has been boosted by conservation efforts. Once only found on Great Bird Island, it has been reintroduced to Rabbit Island, Green Island and York Island. 

Scuba 

Ringed with coral reefs, the island is ideal for scuba diving. 

5 Things to do in Antigua

  1.  Cruises, Sailing & Water Tours (ideal snorkelling and kayaking)
  2.  Historic sites (Shirley Heights, a restored military lookout for beautiful harbour views)
  3. Museums (Betty's Hope, was a sugarcane plantation) 
  4. Nature and Parks (Nelson's Dockyard, Half Moon Bay, Darkwood Beach)    
  5. Horseback Riding Tours

Wednesday, 15 November 2017

4:15 Newcastle 2YO Racing Tips (15th November)

Qatar Racing Limited
A 7f Novice Stakes on Standard going. 

Ten two-year-olds take part. Nine with racecourse experience and the solitary debutante. 

If the betting is anything to go by, this is out of just three horses.

Simon Crisford has been in good form with his two-year-olds this season and a very talented trainer. Ostilio is a chestnut colt sired by New Approach out of a three-time winning mare. This homebred races in the familiar silks of Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum. This April foal was quite fancied on debut when finishing runner-up at Leicester over today's distance. Considering he pulled hard it was a fine debut to lose by half a length. It is difficult to assess the level of that race although for a first outing connections must have been pleased with what they saw. 

Illusional made an encouraging debut at Brighton when racing over 7f on good to soft going. Trained by Mark Johnston, this American-bred son of Bernardini is out of a talented mare who was trained by David Loder for Sheikh Mohammed. Winner of her first two starts, including a Group 3 success on her second start, placed a Group 1, concluding her career when fifth in the Falmouth Stakes Group 1. Illusional ran green on debut, outpaced by the winner but clear of the third. It was a fair effort although the quality of that form may be questionable. 

The sole debutante in the field is King's Shield. John Gosden has a powerful string and been finding success in these last few weeks with a number of form horses and juveniles making their racecourse bow. This January foal is an American-bred son of Scat Daddy and expensive breeze-up purchase at two for 675,000G after being a $65,000 yearling. This looks a significant buy for Qatar Racing Ltd. 

Conclusion: A tricky race to assess. Ostilio and Illusional both ran well on debut and likely to improve a good deal for that first effort. King's Shield cost a lot of money and Gosden's debutantes often go very well on debut when 5/2 & less SP. If outside this betting guide it might suggest a slight weakness although even priced 13/2 & less SP his debutantes feature sound each-way claims. He can pretty much guarantee it will be fancied. This straight 7f is easier than a turning course. I would have to take a watching brief. 

Friday, 10 November 2017

The Best Grand National Winners

Grand National 2018
The nation's favourite race. 

You don't need too many guesses considering the name is in the title of this post. But even without that helpful reminder, it's a horse race like no other. 

The 2018 Grand National Countdown - Saturday 14th April | 5:15pm. 

The Grand National was inaugurated in 1839 at Aintree, Liverpool. A race of legendary status. Four and a half miles, thirty fences, obstacles which test the skills and ability of man and horse. A race of hard knocks, dirty noses and mud-spattered faces. 

In recent years, the highlight of the National Hunt calendar has seen many changes which respect the welfare of these beautiful thoroughbreds and jockeys who contest this racing spectacular. It is much safer than days of old which saw Red Rum win three times. 

Forty brave horses & jockeys await this day. Excited owners, trainers and an apprehensive betting public are hopeful of a win.   

Form horse, a favourite backer, or love a horse's colourful racing silks, it is your chance to bet. One thing is guaranteed, one of forty horses will make headline news.

Did you know that 5 horses have won the Grand National at odds of 100/1? 

With total prize money over £1000,000, it's no surprise the best horses take part. 


''Even the most unlucky punter on earth has a chance of taking the spoils'' 


This historic race has revealed a truth stranger than fiction.  

3 memorable winners:


Red Rum - Trained by Ginger McCain  

The Grand National wouldn't be the race it is today without one very special, talented horse.

Red Rum. This bay gelding made his name winning three times in 1973, 1974 & 1977. In addition, he finished runner-up in 1975 & 1976. He also won the Scottish National in 1974.

Bio: Foaled on 3rd May 1965. In 1966 Red Rum was bought for just 400 guineas. Later, he was purchased by Ginger McCain for Noel le Mare for 6000 guineas. Two days later, while trotting on Southport beach, he was found to be lame. His trainer stated the sea water helped improve his well-being, a remedy used with old carthorses. In his career, he never fell in 100 races. Red Rum is the only horse to win the National three times. 

A true legend. 

Interesting fact: Red Rum won on the Flat and was ridden twice in his career by Lester Piggott. 

Tipperary Tim - Trained by Joseph Dodd

One of the luckiest horses to win the Grand National. 

Tipperary Tim.

Bio: The 1928 Grand National. Before the race, one of the opposition shouted out to the jockey of Tipperary Tim: ''Billy boy, you'll only win if all the others fall down!'' He must have tempted fate, as 41 of the 42 of the starters fell. Eventually, only two horses completed the course. 

Interesting fact: Tipperary Tim is one of 5 horses to have won at odds of 100/1.

Aldaniti  - Trained by Josh Gifford 

The ultimate story of man and horse.

Bio: Aldaniti a chestnut gelding recovering from a career-threatening injury and his jockey, Bob Champion, battling cancer. Their emotive story illustrated the bravery of man and horse. They won the 1981 Grand National touching the hearts of a nation. 

Interesting fact: Their story was made into a film. Champions was released in 1983 starring John Hurt. 

Thursday, 9 November 2017

6:15 Chelmsford 2YO Racing Tips (9th November)

Phoenix Thoroughbred Limited
A Novice Stakes for two-year-olds over one mile on Standard going. 

Twelve juveniles take part: an equal measure of raced and unraced. A number of leading trainers. 

We will be looking at one horse. 

Gronkowski is trained by Jeremy Noseda in the ownership of Phoenix Thoroughbred Limited. This bay colt is a son of Lohnro and 300,000G 2yo breeze-up purchase. This February foal has been on our radar since before debut, noted by the excellent website Group Horse. This juvenile is reputed to be one of Noseda's better prospects given three significant entries which suggest he is in the top 10 talents. In many ways, Gronkowski has given the impression he is lazy. Ryan Moore was booked to ride when making this horse's debut over 7f at Newbury. Starting odds of 5/1 detailed a big run was expected. A slow start concluded proceedings. He plugged on in the closing stages but never looked competitive finishing seventh beaten over eight lengths. 

It was a disappointing display. However, debutantes can reveal the good, bad and ugly. That was a moderate effort but punters still held the view he had latent talent which would soon be shown. 

I fancied this colt would go well on his second start when stepping up to one mile at Newmarket. Gronkowski was markedly weak in the betting drifting from an opening show of 15/8 - 11/4 SP. I had this horse in an each-way double and wasn't impressed to see him tardy from the stalls then taking a keen hold which saw him even further off the pace. It looked an impossible task as the odds-on favourite scooted clear. Gronkowski rallied in the final furlong to finish second defeated by an easy four lengths plus. 

So what do we make of this juvenile's chance today? 

This is an intriguing horse/race. Gronkowski is held in some regard by connections but there is little doubt he has his own ideas. Blinkers have been applied to kick-start a lazy devil but a wide draw on this turning course could be a problem waiting to happen. Will Sean Levey try to get to the rail? I wouldn't like to bet on that point or consider it would be a good idea to try. This colt will most likely settle behind the leaders and hope to run on in the closing stages. You'd think he must hold fair each-way claims if drifting to a backable price. A horse that may touch much bigger odds in running if still looking a touch lazy. I would expect to see him running on in the closing stages and hope that is enough to hit the frame. 

Melbourne Cup Day Review

Melbourne Cup Day Review
Legendary Irish trainer Aiden O’Brien came within a whisker of clinching his first Melbourne Cup victory this week but was outdone by his 24-year-old son. Joseph O’Brien only started training horses last year but has already achieved a feat that has escaped his father for decades after Rekindling romped to victory in the $6.2 million feature. O’Brien senior broke the world record this year for the most Group 1 victories any trainer has ever claimed in a season, but his quest for the Melbourne Cup goes on. 

Irish trainers claimed a 1-2-3 in the race that stops a nation and nine of the first 11 horses to finish were from outside of Australia. That is sure to be a huge talking point in the days ahead, but one Victorian man could not care one bit. Dominic Clemente, from Mill Park, won a cool $1 million by scooping TAB’s Cup Millionaire Promotion. He was selected at random for his $5 each-way flutter on Land of Plenty, who finished second in race three at Flemington on Melbourne Cup Day. Clemente was then given the opportunity to predict who would win the Cup and, with $1 million at stake, he correctly opted for Rekindling.

It was a thrilling race that saw Johannes Vermeer, trained by O’Brien senior, seize the lead from favourite Marmelo with 200m to go. He looked bound for glory but Rekindling surged through the chasing pack and was just a neck behind heading into the final 100m. They went stride for stride on the home straight but Rekindling was just too strong and claimed victory by half a length. O’Brien senior was gracious enough to call it “the perfect result”, declaring that he could not be happier, while the younger O’Brien seemed stunned in the post-race interview. 

But nobody was as happy as Clemente, who said: “I’m getting loose tonight!” He started the day working a concreting job and felt crook, so he went home, placed a couple of bets and lay down for some rest. The call to say he had been selected for a shot at the jackpot came as a shock, but he had already laid a $100 wager on Rekindling, so he knew which runner to pick. His bet was placed at odds of $41, so he pocketed $4,100, just in case the $1 million was not enough in a day’s work. “It’s unbelievable, absolutely life-changing,” he said. 

It was another day to forget for Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, the ruler of Dubai, whose airline stumps up the prize money. The sole runner from his Godolphin stable, Hartnell, came 21st in the field of 23, and he is still without a Melbourne victory, despite investing millions of dollars over the years in a bid to find a winner. There were plenty of happy owners on the day, however, and not least Lloyd Williams, who claimed a sixth Melbourne Cup win when Rekindling crossed the line.

More than 90,000 fans packed into Flemington for the big day and they were treated to some fantastic drama. Gai Waterhouse’s impressive filly Setsuna kicked the day off in style by clinching a Golden Slipper campaign with a dominant victory in the G3 Ottawa Stakes. Next up was the TAB Trophy and Darren Weir’s Tahanee beat favourite Invincibella by a length and a half. Dollar for Dollar landed a win for Tony McEvoy and top South Australian jockey Jamie Kah in the Lavazza Short Black. McEvoy said of Kah: “Jamie, she shows she can match with all the big boys. My horses love her and that makes me love her as well.” 

Hong Kong’s champion jockey Joao Moreira suffered a bad fall in race 4, the Ronald McDonald Plate, and was ruled out of the Melbourne Cup after limping back to the jockeys’ room. Fanatic finished ahead of Sherlock Holmes in that race, but Moreira’s fall put a dampener on proceedings. Chris Symons, who won race 5, the Flemington Fling, aboard Prezado, said the jockeys’ room was distraught after watching the incident. But the show must always go on and Waterhouse’s day became even better when Our Crown Mistress earned a narrow victory over Luqyaa in the Lexus Hybrid Plate. Waterhouse is enjoying a strong season and his charges are worth keeping an eye on in all the latest horse racing odds

Symons also scored another win in race 8, the James Boag’s Premium Stakes, on top of Kiwi horse Odeon, who edged out Life Less Bullet. Ocean Embers won the penultimate race of Melbourne Cup Day, the 1200m MSS Security Sprint, and Pedrena wrapped up proceedings by holding off a spirited challenge from Cool Passion in the final 100m to claim the Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes. 

But ultimately the day belonged to Rekindling, Williams and O’Brien junior. Williams said: “I have been telling anyone who will listen to me that Joseph will be the leading trainer in the world in years to come. His father needs to watch out. You have just seen the start of an amazing career kick off right here in Melbourne. He’s an absolutely extraordinary young man and this is an amazing achievement.” 

Author bio Martin Green is an experienced horse racing correspondent and tipster and has been covering the Melbourne Cup for many years.

Wednesday, 8 November 2017

5:40 Kempton 2YO Racing Tips (8th November)

Unfortunately Purchased By Cheveley Park Stud
An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 7f on Standard going at Kempton racecourse

A large field of fourteen two-year-olds. Quite a competitive heat including a winner and fair form horses fancying their chances. Many debutantes will be running for the experience. I would let the betting settle to winkle out a few who are here to make up the numbers. 

My analysis will be kept short and sweet. It will focus on a solitary horse and the make or break of this potential bet is very much related to the starting price. 

James Fanshawe is no strange to quality horses. He may not have the largest string of juveniles but he can hit the target when they are primed. The majority of these youngsters need the run. True, a few horses win when making their racecourse bow, but these are usually high-class types defying the odds. This trainer has a much greater chance of success with juveniles on their second start. 

Fondest is a bay daughter of Mayson out of a dual-winning mare who was similarly owned and trained. Cheveley Park Stud saw this March foal race over course and distance. She wasn't too fancied on debut although staring at 12/1 far from an outsider. This horse was in the rear but plugged on to finish seventh beaten five lengths. By all accounts, that was a fair start to her racing career. 

What should we make of today's chance? As stated, Fanshawe has a live chance with horses on their second start. A wide draw is far from ideal on this turning course and to be honest, it does dampen the spirits. The key factor is the betting. Being weak in the market may detail connections think this is a step too far. If strong in the market, this horse holds serious each-way claims. If priced 7/1 & less SP I'd be looking to bet. If weak as weak, keep your dosh firmly in your pocket.