Saturday, 3 December 2016

6:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (3rd Dec) 32RED.COM EBF MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

racing tips, betting advise, horse racing news,
An EBF Maiden Stakes over  1m 141y on Standard going. Thirteen two-year-olds take part. I will keep this very brief [for me] as it has been a long week and I have other work to complete this evening. 

The major contenders:

John Gosden has debutante Bois de Boulogne representing Godolphin. This February foal is a homebred son of Street Cry. Interesting why this juvenile has cheekpieces applied. This horse has sound each-way claims. 

Merry Fox Stud Limited are owner/breeders of Flaming Marvel who was sent off at odds of 40-1 when making his debut over course and distance in November. This bay gelding is a son of Redoute's Choice out of a limited mare who was placed on numerous occasion. Interestingly, this horse was sent to the sales but bought in by vendor for 50,000G. His debut run didn't look the hottest contest but it was a lovely introduction, running on with verve but not reaching the leader. Again, from a statistical point of view holds strong win and place claims. 

Getna is a bay daughter of Lonhro who cost 250,000E when purchased by Peter & Ross Doyle Bloodstock at Goff's Orby yearling sales. Adorning the familiar silks of Al Shaqab Racing, this January foal was fancied on debut when ridden by Frankie Dettori at odds of 11-2. Losing by half a length to Sir Michael Stoute's Mittens was a pleasing debut. Adam Kirby takes the ride. 

Hochfield ran much better on his second start finishing runner-up at 25-1. This son of Cape Cross was 50-1 on debut over course and distance when trailing home last. Looks the type to lead but may struggle to hold off a few of these at the line. 

Conclusion: Far from an in-depth preview but time and motivation when giving a free service only stretch so far. John Gosden's debutantes are difficult to assess but they can go well when fancied in the betting. This looks a difficult race to make great use of the major players unless you fancy sticking them in an each-way double or accumulator. Flaming Marvel is definitely the bet from a statistical point of view and may even [long term] be value at 2-1. I prefer betting each-way where possible because Getna & Bois de Boulogne could well be threats. It seems very unlikely Fanshaw's or Hanon's charges will drift to accommodate such bets.      

Friday, 2 December 2016

4:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (2nd Dec) 32RED.COM MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 6) (2yo)

racing tips, horseracing tips, friday's racing tips
A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 7f 32y on Standard going. 

Nine two-year-olds take part: all colts bar one filly including two debutantes. Quite a restricted race type which usually favours form horses. Considering the majority of these have race experience we will have to separate the wheat from the chaff.

Cosmic Boy is trained by Marco Botti and finished second on his debut. This son of Fast Company is owned by Robert Ng who has horses with a number of high-profile trainers. Botti and punters alike must have been disappointed to be caught on the line by Manangatang - trained by Luca Cumani and given an inspired ride by Gabriele Malune. The winner was still well adrift at the furlong pole! Cosmic Boy was relatively fancied and within a significant betting guide. It was a strange race detailed by the fact that the horse which finished ninth was beaten just two-and-a-half lengths. It was a blanket finish like no other. This May foal drops back a furlong which shouldn't be a problem. 

A live hope. 

Good to see Julia Feilden with a new recruit for Newmarket Equine Tours Racing Club. Critical Thinking is a son of Art Connoisseur who cost 4,500E when purchased as a foal. I have been to the races a few times with Julia and her avid supporters. A great day out. It is a very affordable way to be part of a stable, race day and get inside info about their respective syndicate horses. Fully recommended.

Delegate Lord is best watched and will have his day in nursery class. 

Daniel Mark Loughnane has a small string of two-year-olds. Joy's Delight is sired by Stimulation who doesn't seem to have set the world alight as a stallion. The only filly in the field, she was withdrawn from the sales as a foal. Best watched. 

Upper Lambourne trainer, David Lanigan, fields a homebred gelding which is in the ownership of 21st Century Farms Ltd. Take A Turn is a son of Henrythenavigator who was recently withdrawn from auction. He has been huge prices on both starts to date but wasn't disgraced at Kempton. This February foal is likely to be an outsider today but may run better than his odds. However, there is always a slight concern this third start will be ideal for a handicap mark. 

Anne Duffield has the attractively named *Mr Coco Bean. Racing in bright orange colours, you will see this bay gelding. This juvenile is sired by the American stallion Gio Ponti who I have no knowledge of although looking at his profile won almost $4 Million in total prize earnings. Mr Coco Bean was purchased at the breeze-up sales in May this year for 21,000E by Anne Duffield Bloodstock. He was 40-1 on debut at Newcastle but run with credit beaten less than one length into third. By race type, he stepped up in class at Musselburgh when third behind Keith Dalgleish's Tor. That was a fair effort. Connections will be hopeful. Maybe slightly overpriced at 11-1. 

Vanderbilt has raced four times and been no more than three lengths from winning at worst. This chestnut gelding is a son of Intense Focus out of a Galileo mare. He didn't seem to go through the sale's ring as far as I can see. Martyn Mead is a superb trainer who places his two-year-olds well. It is interesting to see he has applied the blinkers for the first time. A tendency to hang to his left may be corrected by this headgear. A wide draw isn't ideal and the blinkers may be used as a prompt to hit the front. Definitely, has each-way claims.

Sir Mark Prescott worked his magic on Expresso Freddo who looked like a plane with a broken wing at Brighton. This son of Fast Company cost 36,000E when purchased at the yearling sales. He ran well in his second start at Windsor when plugging on in determined style to finish runner-up. The last start, when stepping up to seven furlongs, was a decent effort. I had slight reservations that day because the prior run was so poor. The money came that day, and he battles hard. This is his grade but the favourite may simply have too much class. However, I can see a few punters backing this colt each-way. 

At this lowly level, it is not a bad starting point to see a horse owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum. Mustarrid is a brown gelding trained by Richard Hannon. This son of Elzaam cost 140,000E at the yearling sales. It's like spotting the odds one out with two convicts in striped shirts but ones carrying a bag with money sticking out the top because of the zip burst. Clearly, Mustarrid must have been the exception to the rule of those offspring going to the sales. Running over one mile on debut, this February foal was slowly into stride, held up in rear, but ran on well to finish third behind Qatar Man & Shenanigans. The winner is well regarded and the second has won with ease next time out. Mustarrid must go well. He wouldn't want to be slow away from the stalls but that is likely to have been due to inexperience.

Conclusion: Mustarrid looks the jewel in the crown here. He cost more than most of these put together and significantly owned. Unless he is very slow from stalls you would have to say this is the class horse of the field.He wouldn't want to be slow from the stalls. Looks the horse to beat. Cosmic Boy is a winner without a penalty. On stats alone, he has sound each-way claims. Vanderbilt may go better for the blinkers. Expresso Freddo isn't the fastest thing on four legs but he is a strong sort who battles to the line. This could be an each-way alternative to the favourite but you may have to pray the jolly has a disaster. 

Mr Coco Bean *NR

See the result here

Thursday, 1 December 2016

4:45 Chelmsford 2YO Racing Tips (1st Dec) @TOTEPOOL TWEET US YOUR #TOTEELFIE MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

A Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 Race) over 6f on Standard going.  

Nine two-year-olds take part: seven colts, two fillies, all with race experience bar one debutante. Fair prize money to the winner, especially if they are eligible for the £10,000 bonus. 

In many respects, this doesn't look the strongest of contests. 

Her Terms, one of the likely favourites, has raced six times and runner-up on three occasions. This chestnut daughter of Pivotal is trained by William Haggas for owners Apple Tree Stud. Connections paid a whopping 330,000G for this juvenile at the yearling sales and they will be desperate for her to win which will help increase her worth as a broodmare if not a star of the track. Her second, third & fourth run were proud efforts only being denied by narrow margins. She hasn't been disgraced on these last two starts although they have been slightly disappointing. This January foal has an official rating of 78 which is probably a fair measure of why she has been going close but not quite winning. Haggas has given this bonny filly a rest which I would imagine was needed after a number of hard races. I can imagine they were concerned she was being soured by asking a little too much and backed off with a view to finding a weaker maiden over the winter. This is most likely the plan. But can she win? 

Paul Cole is a good judge and King's Academy has been quite well found in the market for each of three races to date. This chestnut son of Mayson is out of a limited but winning mare. This February foal is owned and trained by Cole. He started his career in Chantilly, France, when pretty fancied in the betting. He showed good pace before tiring in the closing stages to finish fifth. The second start saw him placed behind Mont Cinq who lead from start to finish. It was a fair performance but giving the impression this colt is limited. He drifted markedly in the betting that day which suggests the layers thought something else would prevail. It may have been the case that the drop to five furlongs didn't help. Conversely, King's Academy was well punted at Kempton when back up a furlong. It didn't look the hottest race but it was an improved effort to finish runner-up. 

Don Cantillon doesn't have many two-year-olds in his string and Canberra Cliffs was recently purchased by the trainer and Tom Malone for 18,000G. This son of Canford Cliffs has been raced in Ireland showing a glimmer of ability and beaten favourite on his last two starts. With an official rating of just, 69 others make more appeal.  

This looks a moderate affair and reason why a good few are in the market. 

Mark Johnston's Shabeeh has four runs under his belt. A runner-up on first and second start and a couple of fourths. This gelding has been fancied in the betting a few times  and far from disgraced when 20-1 last time out when racing over 7f at Chelmsford. With an official rating of 77 this son of Raven's Pass has possibilities although I wonder if this drop back to 6f will suit.    

Arzaak is another recent purchase at the sales by trainer Chris Dwyer for 25,000G. This son of Casamento was originally trained by Owen Burrows in the ownership of Hamdan Al Maktoum. This gelding hasn't been beaten far in each of his three starts. The Dwyer stable like a bet so if the money comes it would be a sign of confidence. Not without a chance and 8-1 if probably a fair price.      

Harry Dunlop's Coastal Cyclone belied his odds when running on well at odds of 25-1 at Salisbury, in the mud, on debut. He was relatively fancied when dropping back to 6f next time out when trying to make all but tired rapidly in the last 100 yards. Although beaten several lengths on his recent outing at Kempton, it was a decent race. On this turning course, I wonder if this son of Canford Cliffs will be sent to the front. Whether he will win is another question.    

Eve Johnson-Houghton has Five Star Frank. He was behind King's Academy at Kempton which is why this son of Exceed And Excel is priced 12-1. He didn't help his cause by pulling in the early stages before running on late. This bay colt may be better if settling. With a low draw in stall one, connections may decide to lead all the way.    

James Given's fields the only debutantes in Alfonso Manana. Very few of this trainer's juveniles win when priced in double figures. Best watched unless substantially backed.

Vibes looks limited compared ith some of these and may be better suited to nurseries. 

Conclusion: A tricky race. It doesn't look the best of contests and a trappy affair with a good few juveniles with some hope of victory. Her Terms cost a lot of money and probably the best on form but I did feel she was regressing with each of those latter runs. Haggas gave her a well-deserved break which may liven her up just enough to win. I would take  a watching brief as this race isn't straightforward. 

See the result here

Read our last blog post here

Wednesday, 30 November 2016

5:25 Kempton 2YO Racing Tips (30th Nov) 32RED.COM/ IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div I) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) over 6f. 

Pressed for time so I will try to keep this to the point. I know this is usually famous last words but I am endeavouring to do so today as I'm losing the will to live. 

Twelve fillies to regard. 

I will quickly disregard seven of these identified by their absence. 

David Elsworth is a trainer I keep a very close eye especially with juveniles on their second start. Tisbutadream was well backed when making her debut at Newmarket back in June. In fact, this daughter of Dream Ahead was hammered into 5-2 from double those odds. That's where the story ends for most punters. She finished second from last between over seventeen lengths. This 100,000E yearling purchase hasn't been seen for one-hundred and sixty days. That lengthy spell on the sidelines suggests this March foal had issues. Her starting price suggests this youngster has ability. Although this looks a competitive heat, if priced in single figures I would give this chestnut filly sound each-way claims. If weak in the market I'd take a watching brief.

At the time of writing this post, Warba is surprisingly short in the betting. This daughter of Intense Focus was trained by Joseph Tuite but now with Mrs. N M Hugo who is based at Edge Green, Cheshire and a licenced trainer for two years. I have no knowledge of this handler regarding training of two-year-olds. This is her first runner! Strange why this juvenile is priced at 9/2. Perhaps the word is out this filly has ability. I would take a watching brief. 

John Gosden doesn't lack for quantity or quality of two-year-olds. *Luqyaa showed promise on debut when racing a the end of the turf season. This daughter of Canadian sire Smart Strike is out of a talented mare.  She won on her debut. Prevailing next start at Royal Ascot taking the Queen Mary Stakes Group 2. Finished fourth in the Lowther Stakes Group 2. And concluded her formative season being placed in the Cheveley Park Stakes Group 1. She raced six times at three with the highlight of a superb career finishing third, losing by two lengths to Blue Bunting, in the 1000 Guineas. Exceptional. Luqyaa is a homebred for Hamdan Al Maktoum. Relatively fancied on debut at Newmarket when third behind Roger Charlton's Yellow Hammer. This January foal looks a serious horse and bred to be a winner. 

A couple of debutantes worthy of note here, particularly Charlie Appleby's Endless Charm. For starters, I can detail this daughter of Dubawi is held in high regard. She's out of a multiple-winning mare including a Group 3 victory at San Siro, Italy. She was something of a globetrotter racing at France & the United Arab Emirates where she concluded her career. Endless Charm has been on our radar for some time and it is a significant indicator that this February foal is racing at this time of year rather than put away for the winter. It is never easy for any juvenile to win on their racecourse bow especially against talented horses with experience.

Bird To Love represents Ralph Beckett for Mrs. Robert Langton who bred this bay daughter of Delegator. Beckett can train debut winners which often go well at fair odds.  

Conclusion:  An intriguing race. The bigger priced horses cannot be, wholeheartedly, ruled out but the major fancies will take some stopping. I would be surprised if one of these five doesn't hit the line first. The betting is key for Tisbutadream. If backed to single figure odds, I would give this filly each-way claims. If weak in the market I'd take a watching brief. Bird To Love may have her fans but I will watch today. I really can't figure out why Warba is a short price because from what has been seen she shouldn't be 9/2. Considering this is Mrs. N M Hugo's first two-year-old runner it adds to the mystery. I can only imagine this horse has been detailed in the press and bookmakers are being careful. I would imagine she will drift in the market. Luqyaa is well bred and showed ample promise on debut. Will be primed and take all the beating. Very interested in Endless Charm who is held in high regard. Betting on debutantes can be a frustrating endeavour at times. A slow start over 6f can crush any bet. If touching each-way odds I'd be looking at this juvenile. In truth, it may be wise to back the favourite and Appleby's charge.  

*Luqyaa - NR

See the result here

Read our last blog here 

Join our Professional Gamblers Newsletter. 

Tuesday, 29 November 2016

1:50 Newcastle 2YO Racing Tips (29th Nov) BETWAY MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

Newcastle, racing tips, sports betting,
A Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) over 6f on Standard going.

Nine two-year-olds take part: five colts, four fillies all with race experience. 

A competitive race. 

Brother McGonagall is trained by Tim Easterby for the Reality Partnership VI. This bay gelding, a son of Equiano, was purchased for 25,000G as a foal. He raced almost two weeks ago over course and distance. This May foal was a 50-1 shot that day. It was a tough race won by Michael Dods' Holmeswood. Brother McGonagall was ring rusty, slow from the stall, but ran on to finish sixth. He wasn't disgraced. Clearly, this juvenile needs to improve for that initial experience, To be fair he should. 

On Saturday, David Barron sprang something of a surprise with a two-year-old debutant winning at odds of 33-1. Glorious Politics is a son of Delegator out of Pelican Key who won on debut. This was her only victory. She contesting the Princess Margaret Stakes Group 3 at Ascot although comprehensively beaten. Glorious Politics cost 45,000G at the yearling sales. He ran in a stiff York maiden (back in October) when backed. Held up, this juvenile made good progress to finish sixth beaten less than four lengths. Over fifty days have passed since that racecourse bow. Should improve for that first start & hold claims. 

Rapid Rise hasn't been seen since early June. Racing in the familiar lime-green silks of John Fretwell, this Irish-bred son of Fast Company ran three times in about a month for David Brown. To be fair, this bay colt ran well on each occasion. Most recently, he was runner-up over course and distance. This February foal has an official rating of 77.  It will be interesting to see how this lengthy absence affects this colt. Brown isn't the type of trainer to bring a horse back unless it is ready to roll so another entrant who is worthy of respect. 

Richard Fahey has a large string of juveniles and an exceptional trainer. Six Strings is a colt who must have been showing plenty of ability on the gallops. He started 9-4 on debut over this course and distance, narrowly foiled by Hyperfocus who edged left and done this son of Requinto no favours. This 50,000E yearling purchase was primed for the Weatherby's Super Sprint at Newbury. Finishing ninth was no disgrace because he was beaten less than six lengths. Considering he carried much higher weight than many of this excellent field that was a fine account. 

Ann Duffield has Wild Acclaim making his second start after being last seen at Hamilton in a five-runner race. This homebred is owned by Ballylinch Stud although sold at the breeze-up sales for 42,000E. He had a stiff task that day when facing a 30-100f Whirl Me Round who won in ready fashion. Wild Acclaim was struggling out the back until running on in the closing stages to pick up the pieces in second place. It does make me wonder what that race amounted to although El Hombre & Sky Gypsy went on to win. It looks as though this step up an extra furlong will be positive. If priced 13/2 & less SP it would bring further hope. 

Dealer's Choice drifted markedly in the betting on debut but ran a sterling race pressing Sir Michael Stoute's Panova - five lengths clear from the third. This grey filly owned by J Shack was a touch weak in the betting second start when, after such an encouraging debut, you would have been thinking she had outstanding claims. In truth, it was a fair contest with the winner from Saeed bin Suroor The second and fourth are capable types. Racing keenly in the early stages of the race may well have tamed this juvenile in the closing stages. Punters may be willing to give this attractive grey another chance.  

Red Mohican is a chestnut daughter of Harbour Watch purchase by Phil McEntee for just 12,000G at the yearling sales. McEntee is no shrinking violet when it comes to opinions and a trainer I have a lot of time for. This little filly ran in a strong race when making her debut. If memory serves, it was one of the first two-year-old races of the season. She showed good pace second start over the minimum distance. May show up with the lead but looks unlikely to figure at the death.   

Slave To Freedom is best watched. 

Miss Montes showed little ability on debut and unlikely to figure unless seriously backed. 

Conclusion: This analysis seems to have an age to write - which doesn't fill me with joy. Please help share this post via the media buttons below as it gives me the incentive to write to a professional standard. This looks a tough race to be dogmatic. I would need an each-way price to even considering betting. The likes of Six Strings & Dealer's Choice seem unlikely to touch those prices. Glorious Politics may tempt a few punters to go for an each-way touch and has fair claims although this may prove to be a difficult race to pin down one horse. 

See the race result here

Read our last blog here

Monday, 28 November 2016

1:20 Newcastle 2YO Racing Tips (28th Nov) 32RED.COM MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div I) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10 Race) over 1m 5y on Standard going. 

Nine two-year-olds take part: five with racecourse experience. The betting details that five horses are fancied here. 

Crimson Lake has raced twice for leading trainer David Simcock. This bay daughter of Makfi has been on the sidelines for fifty days following a placed effort at Salisbury on good to soft going in October. Adorning the familiar silks of Qatar Racing Ltd, she wasn't overly fancied when making her debut at odds of 10-1. Plugging on for fourth, the winner, Unforgettable Filly trained by Hugo Palmer, won decisively by seven lengths. This homebred was fancied on her second start at Salisbury when backed from 8-1 returning 5-1. It was a creditable performance, holding third with command. The winner, Icespire, trained by John Gosden, was a strong favourite, who was ridden clear to win comfortably. On balance, it didn't look the strongest of heats but a filly who has valuable race experience. 

William Haggas keeps firing in the winners and his two-year-olds have been excelling all year long. Dellaguista made her debut at the end of the turf season when finishing sixth at Doncaster competing over one mile. This grey daughter of Sea The Stars cost 160,000G when purchased as a foal by BBA Ireland. The mare was a decent performer winning twice at Group 3 in Ireland and contested the Irish 1,000 Guineas. Dellaguista was priced 14-1 that first start but the betting, as much as anything, detailed this Irish-bred horse needed the run. After dwelling, she was given the comment: 'Kept on steadily, will do better'. With a month off course, connections will be looking for this February foal to lose her maiden tag sooner rather than later. There should be ample improvement and if available at each-way odds could be a tempting bet.

The two major opponents, as far as the betting is concerned, are debutantes:  Enable & Glamour Time, respectively. 

Enable is trained by John Gosden, racing in the familiar silks of K Abdullah. This February foal is a daughter of Nathaniel out of a talented mare who was trained by Andre Fabre winning three from seven starts [debut] to Listed class, placed twice more at pattern level. Gosden's debutantes can win at the first time of asking and if priced 13/2 & less SP has claims. 

Roger Varian trains Glamour Time for Newsells Park Stud (owner/breeders). This grey filly was sent to the sales twice as a yearling but withdrawn. This Irish-bred daughter of Teofilo is out of a talented mare who raced seventeen times in Ireland winning three times including a Group 3 contest at the Curragh. She achieved an official rating of 104. Varian had problems throughout the season with a virus in the stable so there may be a good few juveniles seen over these winter months. From a statistical point of view, she holds each way claims. 

Two other debutantes are worthy of note, especially if supported in the betting.

Gallifrey is trained by Lucy Wadham. This Newmarket handler has a small string of two-year-olds but knows a good horse when she sees one. However, this is her first juvenile to run this season. This bay daughter of Sir Percy cost 170,000G at the yearling sales when purchased by Blandford Bloodstock. She is now in the ownership of Chasemore Farm who have horses with many trainers. One of their better types is Mutatis Mutandis who won at Listed class for Ed Walker in 2015. Gallifrey's mother [by Galileo] won on debut in Ireland, her only victory in twenty starts, although highly tried being placed at Group 3 and racing at Group 1 on two occasions. Lucy Wadham wouldn't get many juveniles with such a price tag. Considering the stallion and mare both won on debut connections may fancy they have a fair horse to go to war. Interesting.

Karl Burke is a fine handler who can ready a debutante. Touch Me is a home-bred daughter of Masterofthehouse for Hassan Al Abdulmalik. The mare was limited, showing nothing in three starts. If priced 10-1 & less SP may have a fighting chance although that looks unlikely. 

Form horses Legalized & Spirit Of Rome looks to have a mountain to climb.  

Lenoire is a daughter of Galileo and homebred for George Strawbridge. She was well backed on debut but showed limited ability. The second start, she was keen when twelfth or fourteen although not beaten a long way. Unfancied in the betting today at 25-1. May have more to offer. Unless substantially backed, best watched. 

Conclusion: Quite an intriguing race in ways. Not the easiest to assess with limited form and debutantes. 

Crimson Lake has shown ability on both starts and experience counts for a lot at this age. She has claims but may be susceptible to a debutante with a touch of class. 

Dellaguista will improve for her debut. Haggas has decent each-way claims with his fillies second start and I'd expect this juvenile to go well. She would be interesting if touching each-way prices. 

From a statistical point of view both Enable and Glamour Time are worthy of note and could hit the frame. They are well-bred types from significant trainers. If priced outside 13/2 SP, it may be an indicator they are not fired up. However, if strong in the market, they should be feared. 

Gallifrey is interesting. Although from a trainer who has very few two-year-old runners, a price tag of 170,000G catches the eye. She's well bred out of debut winners and Wadham is likely to hold this filly in high regard. If backed, I would anticipate a big run. If weak in the market it may be the case she will be a better horse second start. 

The others have something to prove. I'd take a watching brief.     

See today's result here 

If you enjoy this post, please share via the buttons below. Thank you.

Saturday, 26 November 2016

5:15 Wolverhampton 2YO Racing Tips (26th Nov) 32RED CASINO MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

horse racing chat, skybet, free bets, A Maiden Stakes over 5f 20y on Standard going. Eleven runners take part: five colts, six fillies. Ten have race experience bar the lone debutante. 

John Butler doesn't have many two-year-olds but Desert Mark looks an able horse. This bay colt is a son of Approve and decent purchase [November] at £17,000. This April foal was previously trained by Richard Hannon in the ownership of Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum. Desert Mark ran well on debut and then just failed at Brighton losing by a short head. With over a month on the sideline, this colt is fancied in the betting and on form has some claims. There is always a slight concern when a horse changes stables and perhaps more so with a trainer who has a small string of two-year-olds. I hope this juvenile goes well for his new connections.

The betting suggests this is an open race with a good few featuring in prominently in the market.

China Horse Club has plenty of money to buy quality horses. Enhancement cost 220,000E when purchased at the yearling sales.Trained by Richard Hannon, he wasn't at all fancied on debut when returning a 33-1 shot. Although finishing tenth he wasn't beaten a great number of lengths. This son of Invincible Spirit was supported by punters next time out when priced 16-1 [from 25-1]. Ridden by Sean Levey, he wasn't disgraced in fifth, beaten less than five lengths. The most interesting aspect of his colt, for many readers, will be noting he has dropped from seven furlongs to five. It makes me wonder what has been said in dispatches for this turnabout. Enhancement is fancied in the betting. Even if he is a sprinter, seven furlongs might have been imprinted on this juvenile's mind and this minimum trip could come as a rude awakening. Will he have the pace to sit handy? Time will tell. However, I would be concerned he will have the mindset of a seven-furlong campaigner. Clearly. connections will have been considering this point and prepped this two-year-old for sprinting. Intriguing but a question mark in my mind.

Another horse following a similar stamina-to-sprint format is Ed McMahon's Lesanti. This bay colt has shown good pace and may well appreciate this drop in distance. However, it is one thing to show speed over seven furlongs and another over five. McMahon is a class trainer, and he isn't beyond a surprise. A wide draw is a stumbling block. I would have to take a watching brief but may be a horse with some hope.

McMahon also fields The Daley Express who hasn't been seen since the end of May. This son of Elzaam is well bred out of the talented mare Seraphina, which readers may remember winning the Brocklesby Stakes in 1999. She was a tremendous horse racing seventeen times in her career. Strangely, she only ever won on debut but had her days when going close at the highest level. These included runner-up in the Lowther Stakes Group 2 & fourth in the Cheveley Park Stakes Group 1. The Daley Express ran well on debut at 20-1 when competing over 5f at Leicester. He was a big price simply because McMahan doesn't have the support he so dearly deserves. I'd definitely give this juvenile a fighting chance.    

David Baron fields the only debutant. Rozy Boys is owned by M. Rozenbroek and a £33,000 yearling purchase. This bay gelding is a son of Kyllachy out of a winning mare who was trained by Hughie Morrison. Barron is an interesting trainer who can ready a juvenile to win on their racecourse bow. If priced 10/1 & less SP has claims although if weak in the market I would take a watching brief. The betting should tell the story. 

Chris Wall is a fantastic trainer - astute. Atlantic Belle is a daughter of Zebedee and fine 11,000G yearling purchase. She ran well last time out before struggling to finish and may relish this drop to five furlongs. One for the shortlist.

Defining Moment made her debut in a fair race at Leicester. It is a course Rae Guest often sends his better juveniles which may give further hope today. This daughter of Camacho is owned and homebred for Derek J Wills. May hold claims, especially if well backed. 

Hamidan's Girl has shown the ability for Keith Dalgleish losing by relatively small margins in all four starts to date. This daughter of Bahamian Bounty is a keen type and well drawn in stall two. It would seem likely she will lead. She has a level of ability but may be susceptible to a horse with a touch of class. 

Street Jazz is another horse who has been kept busy in this formative season with six runs to date. James Given's filly has an official rating of just 68. The Cool Silk Partnership [owners] have plenty of good stock but for breeding purposes would love to see this daughter of Acclamation prevail. Another juvenile who is likely to hit the front but may well struggle to hold one or two of these at the line.

Conclusion: As you can tell from this expansive review - this looks a tricky affair. Rozy Boys may hold fair each-way claims if priced 10/1 & less SP. It is difficult for a debutante to take on experienced horses because any weakness from the stall will make this very hard work. However, if fancied in the market worthy of note. If weak, best watched. The Daley Express must be sent here with some confidence. Ed McMahon is a talented trainer and this colt is well bred. If taking after mother or father, he will be a tough nut. One of the leading chances especially is priced 7/1 & less SP. Atlantic Belle has fair each-way claims. A fascinating but tricky race. If fancied in the betting, The Daley Express has a fighting chance although has to defy a lengthy spell on the sidelines.   

See the result here

Friday, 25 November 2016

1:45 Newcastle 2YO Racing Tips (25th Nov) £10 FREE AT 32RED.COM MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

Ben CM Wong, Horse racing, betting,
A Maiden Stakes over 7f 14y on standard going. 

Fourteen two-year-olds take part: eleven colts and three fillies. Nine have race experience. I will try to keep this succinct as it has been a long day although I'm always full of enthusiasm for these contests.

Envisaging is worth inspection after being fancied in the betting on both starts. James Fanshawe must have been a touch disappointed by those efforts. This Irish-bred son of Zoffany cost 110,000E when purchased at the yearling sales, after being bought as a relatively cheap foal at 17,500E. Ben CM Wong has a number of talented horses in his ownership and this bay colt was fancied on debut at Sandown over 7f. To be fair, this April foal was pretty weak in the betting, which may have suggested he needed the run. There could have been a grain of truth in that because he dwelt, keeping on to take fourth near the finish but never dangerous. 

It is difficult to assess his betting at Goodwood next time out simply because it was a four-horse race. However, on basic statistics, this juvenile was fancied to go well although once again quite weak in the betting. Stepping up to one mile, he was much too keen to a point where it soon became obvious he wouldn't be winning. Weakening in the final furlong, the two favourites were left to their own devices. 

Envisaging has not been seen for about three months and the betting suggests punters have not lost heart. This drop in the distance looks a good move and this straight all-weather course should be positive. It is no bad thing to show pace on this course although racing too keenly would be a concern. Fanshawe will have been working behind the scenes to calm this character's temperament. This factor is crucially important. In many respects, a temperamental horse isn't good news because you are betting for a professional display and enough ability to win. If betting, watch this juvenile going to post, if you can. If headstrong, don't bet. 

I wouldn't bet on this horse unless each-way prices are available, which seems unlikely. 

Note: Ran well in 3rd. Almost touching EW odds at 7/2. 

Wednesday, 23 November 2016

1:30 Wolverhampton 2YO Racing Tips (23rd Nov) 32RED CASINO MAIDEN STAKES (Div I) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

2yo racing tips, horse racing blog, racing blogger,
A few days without much two-year-old race action. Five maidens today, bulked up from the original, with two split into divisions. 

I will take a quick look and see if there is anything of interest:

1:30 Wolverhampton - 

The betting suggests this is out of four horses at best. Ghand showed limited ability on  his debut and will need a transformation. Sir Michael Stoute's charge may have claims if 13/2 & less SP. Looks unlikely. 

American History has been fancied on both starts to date. This son of High Chaparral was even money last start over course and distance when sixth. Gosden has applied the cheek pieces to bolster this juveniles claims. A wide draw isn't ideal although enough distance to separate the wheat from the chaff. Connections will be hoping this 135,000G breeze-up purchase can do a little better. 

Marco Botti has been in flying form this late season and Zumurudee has been well found in the betting on both his two starts to date. This bay son of Stormy Atlantic has enough ability to win a race although perhaps priced to chance at a shade of odds-on. Mark Johnston fields one of two debutantes a filly called Shee's Lucky. This American homebred, sired by Yourgunnabelucky, has a prime draw in stall one but may need to have a fair level of ability to win this at the first time of asking. I would imagine this is out of Zumurdee and American History.

2:05 Wolverhampton -  

John Gosden often goes well with his fancied debutantes and if Oxford Thinking is priced 5/2 & less is worthy of note. A 210,000E yearling purchase. 

Jive Talking has been well supported on each of her three starts and may well make a viable each-way alternative if priced allow.

5:25 Kempton - 

Peter Chapple-Hyam has quite an expensive breeze-up purchase going here in the shape of Fivetwoeight who cost 155,000E. This son of Kyllachy is worth noting if priced 13/2 & less SP. The stable can ready a juvenile better than most stables although they don't have the numbers of old. 

Interested to see how Four Candles goes here as I tipped this gelding to win last time out at Chelmsford. I'm sure connections expected a big run that day but this Irish-bred son of Lilbourne Lad never looked happy and struggled to go the pace. That race was at auction class which is a step down on this grade, which means there must be plenty of improvement. McBride has a 5lb apprentice riding which is a help but does it suggest this horse needs all the help it can get? At odds of 20/1, a few punters may bet and just hope his last start was a major disappointment. There needs to be an excuse because this looks a tougher race. There was good reason to expect a bold show last start which didn't materialise so there could be hope. I wasn't impressed in ways. I think you will know your fate early if betting. If struggling for pace in the early stages it will be hard work to get involved.

5:55 Kempton - 

Division II of this EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f. The betting suggests this is a three-horse race. Marco Botti's Al Reeh has run well on all three starts to date. This son of Invincible Spirit has been a short price beaten favourite the last twice but defeated by decent horses. Connections will be expecting a bold show. 

Amanda Perrett doesn't have a very big string of two-year-olds and Saluti may have been a surprise on debut when finishing third at odds of 50/1. This son of Acclamation traveled well until tiring in the closing stages in what looked a fair race. The stable have decent each-way claims with juveniles fancied on their second start so could hit the frame. 

James Fanshawe is a talented trainer. I like his juveniles on their second start. Enfolding was relatively fancied on debut but needed the race. He cost 110,000G at the yearling sales in the familiar Ban CM Wong silks. This gelding hasn't been seen since July so a few question marks. A wide draw is not ideal especially if tardy from  the stalls as seen on debut. However, if priced 13/2 & less SP could go well. If weak in the betting, I would take a watching brief.  

Friday, 18 November 2016

4:45 Newcastle 2YO Racing Tips (18th Nov) DOOM BAR MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 6) (2yo)

racing tips, betting advice,
A Maiden Auction Stakes over 7f 14y on standard going. Eight two-year-olds take part. A restricted race type which often favours experienced, form horses. On first inspection, this doesn't look the most competitive of races. Someone has to win!

Mark Johnston has been strong all season and Killermont Street will be one of the favourites. This bay filly is a daughter of Dream Ahead owned by Douglas Livingstone who has horses such as Highly Sprung. A loyal patron of Kingsley Park Stables. 

This April foal was purchased by Mark Johnston Racing for 35,000E. She was priced 3/1 on debut when finishing sixth, beaten eight lengths. On the face of it, that looked a disappointment but it was a stiff race with the winner, Really Special,  since unbeaten in two races, while the second is no slouch and third, Gorgeous Noora, literally flew home to an effortless win next start. The fourth, Mississippi Mis has won, too. 

This is a drop in class. In addition, this step up in distance will be of benefit. Most juveniles, if holding ability, show it on their second start. Bold claims.

Sir Mark Prescott hasn't hit the headline with his crop of juveniles this season. Most are very much in need of their debut. He is a handler who has a plan for each horse to the point that some are primed to win while others are allowed to mature on their own time. Espresso Freddo is a son of Fast Company and 36,000E yearling purchase. He started early season but trounced. This bay colt went well on his second start at Windsor when losing by less than one length. That was a decent enough race for this grade. Fancied to go well at Brighton, he tired quickly and finished a distant last. There may well have been a problem that day back in June. Over five months have passed since that last disappointment. Middleham Park Racing will be hoping to make a positive return. There are a few question marks which would make me shy away from taking a short price. 

Bizet has been kept busy with six races to date. John Ryan is a talented trainer, although he doesn't have the greatest string of juveniles. This bay colt is a son of Helmet and 25,000G breeze-up purchase at two. He ran well in his earlier races - touched off by a head to Marzouq at Chelmsford. He ran terrible when attempting a nursery for the first time and last start over course and distance. A return to form is needed before taking a punt.  

Lisa Williamson is another trainer who has limited ammunition when it comes to two-year-olds. Blue Rocks was sent off huge odds on his first two starts, then a gallant third at odds of 100/1when dropping in distance. This Irish-bred gelding looks up against it here.

Bryan Smart has seen a relatively quiet season with his juveniles but a capable handler. Most of his two-year-olds win on their second start. Pepys was fancied in the betting at Beverley when attempting auction class finishing third. This son of Aqlaam hasn't been disgraced on his last two starts when running over a mile. This drop in distance and grade gives greater hope but may need to find some improvement.

Eponina is a daughter of Zoffany, part owned by the Trojan Horse Partnership. This bay filly was purchased by the vendor for just 5,000G at the yearling sales. To be fair, she ran well on debut over course and distance at 66/1. Although sixth, this April foal wasn't beaten far. That was at auction class, similar to this. Ben Haslam is a very capable trainer and if this youngster is priced 13/2 & less SP has each-way claims.

One of two debutantes Magical Molly Joe catches the eye being trained by David Barron. This bay filly was purchased by her owner Lee Woolams for just £800 at the yearling sales. You don't need me to say that is a small amount of money. It doesn't inspire confidence but the trainer stats do give some hope. Ironically. I would prefer this juvenile if it was priced bigger odds but one with each-way claims although the price tag does bring slight concerns. 

Last but not least, Satis House is trained by Susan Corbett. This trainer from Otterburn, Northumberland has had just eight two-year-old runs in the last five years. None were placed. This bay filly was bred by the trainer, owned by Castle View Racing, who may well be connected with the stable. This daughter of Bahri is related to Gran Canaria Queen who is a capable sprinter. On balance, it would be unlikely this May foal wins.

Conclusion: A run of the mill race. These restricted contests give lesser horses a chance to taste victory and connections of one will be proud as punch. Killermont Street looks better than most. Fancied on debut from a leading stable. That was a stiff race on debut and sixth place may cloud the vision of a few punters. The horse to beat. Difficult to know what to think about Espresso Freddo. On his best form, he has a live chance but it is always a concern when a short-priced horse has something to prove. I would have to take a watching brief. Eponina has claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. Magical Molly Joe cost a pittance and that does bring concerns, especially so being purchased by her owner rather than the trainer. On the stats, has each-way claims. A funny old race. If something wins well it will be Killermont Street.