Sunday, 24 September 2017

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Saturday, 9 September 2017

Saturday's Racing Tips (9th September)

CLASS HORSES
Saturday 9th September - 

1:35 Ascot - 

Noted juveniles: Danceteria.

Interesting:  Danceteria wasn't disgraced when running over a mile at Goodwood. He travelled well and I suspect connected were hoping for more. This horse is held in decent regard and dropping back to seven furlongs a positive move. With experience on side, he could hold each-way claims at 16/1. 

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1:45 Thirsk - 

Noted juveniles: Alkhawaneej Boy.

Interesting: The sole significant entrant Alkhawaneej Boy. Kevin Ryan can train debut winners although they can be a little hit and miss. However, this doesn't look the strongest of races so connections will be expecting a bold show. 

2:10 Ascot - 

Noted juveniles: Arabian Sea, Arthenia, Lubinka, Sheikha Reika & Soliloquy. 

Very interesting:  This looks a very hot Novice Stakes. Arthenia wasn't fancied on debut and most likely needed the race. To be fair, she ran a good race and this step up to a mile will suit. That initial experience will see her well. She may hold claims today at 25/1 but this is such a competitive heat it could be a difficult race to call. Lubinka was noted on her debut but so weak in the betting I thought she may have needed the race. By the way she ran, that looks unlikely. A strapping filly who will be fit and ready for today. Charlie Appleby can do little wrong with his juveniles and Soliloquy is held in high regard and beaten favourite on debut but did little wrong in second place. Roger Varian's horses haven't been in the best of form of late but Sheikha Reika is held in high regard and one of the better juveniles in the stable. She will need to be primed to give valuable experience but a horse you should respect. Arabian Sea is priced as though limited or needing the race. 

Conclusion: A fascinating but difficult race to call. Soliloquy sets the standard on form but on soft ground and a number of talented horses in opposition I would be careful. There may be some value in Arthenia but just two places with bookmakers detract. For exchange players (3 or 4 places) she may be worth a small each-way bet. A race to enjoy as much to bet as there will be lots of winners come from this contest. 

2:15 Thirsk - 

Noted juveniles: Travelcard.  

4:30 Ascot - 

Noted juveniles: Agar's Plough.

Interesting: Ed Dunlop's Agar's Plough ran well at 100/1 on debut and one of two horses he entered for the Convivial at York, which is a significant pointer. A couple of well-bred juveniles in opposition but without significant two-year-old entries. Shame this race is just two places with bookmakers. For exchange players, Agar's Plough may be worth a small each-way bet. 

7:00 Wolverhampton - 

Noted juveniles: Bakht Khan.

Interesting: Kevin Ryan's Bakht Khan wasn't overly fancied on debut but a horse held in pretty high regard by connections. He hasn't been seen for a month after a disappointing debut over six furlongs. This drop back to five furlongs is interesting (not sure whether this is a good or bad move) and a plum draw should be a bonus on this turning course if starting well. He is 8/1 with bookmakers. By entries, this colt has a level of ability and worthy of note. 

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Wednesday, 6 September 2017

2:10 Chepstow Racing Tips (6th September)

Dr Johnny Hon
A Fillies' Novice Stakes over 5f 16y on good going. Nine two-year-olds take part in this intriguing contest. 

Global Rose is trained by Gay Kelleway and held in some regard. This daughter of Dark Angel races in the ownership of Dr Johnny Hon, bred by Shadwell Estate Company Ltd. This bay wasn't overly fancied on debut at Windsor but we noted this juvenile who could quite easily have won if being a little wiser on her first day at the races. 

She was made a 2-1 favourite second start at Sandown and did little wrong when third just half a length behind May Girl. If available at each-ay odds, I would be interested in this horse's chance. 

Brian Meehan has been rather hit and miss this season with his juveniles but I suspect Mushahadaat is a decent prospect. This daughter of Invincible Spirit was made favourite on debut at Newbury over 6f and finished a creditable second. She was made favourite next time out at Goodwood. However, coniditions turned tretchourous with heavy rain and softening ground. The going clearly didn't suit Mushahadaat. From a statistical point of view, she held very good claims that day. I would ignore that disappointing effort. Meehan does well at this course, which gives confidence. It is interesting to see she has been dropped in distance. I'm not sure this will be to her favour. However, you have to consider the trainer knows best. It is possible she may be outpaced in the early stages before running on. 

Shaya caught the eye on debut. For the simple reason, I was very surprised to see a debutante trained by Roger Fell starting favourite. There must have been some confidence and money behind this daughter of Invincible Spirit. She wasn't disgraced over course and distance behind a few fair types at that grade. I imagine connections were hoping for more. Priced 25-1 with bookmakers at the time of writing. If fancied to go well, I would expect this bay filly to be backed. 

Charles Hills' Kodina wasn't fancied in the betting on debut at Newbury over 6f on soft ground. She showed up for a long way and could improve for that first start. Interesting to consider how this drop in distance works. It could be a smart move. Hills' juveniles often go well when priced 13/2 & on their second start. I would use this betting guide to assess her chances today. 

David Simcock and Jamie Spencer make an interesting collaboration. Kaaba Stone is a daughter of Society Rock in the ownership of the Never Say Die Partnership. This bay filly cost 92,000 Euros at the breeze-up sales. She was ridden by Spencer at Ripon when a touch weak in the betting. However, it was a fair-looking contest and she ran well beaten by less than four lengths. Another horse who could go well if priced 13/2 & less SP. 

Awesome has raced three times and showed ability.

Conclusion: A competitive race for this course. I would let the betting settle before making your decision and definitely take note of any changes in the going. I doubt Mushahadaat will start if the weather turns. Brian Meehan's charge is of interest. She has been favourite on both starts and that says a lot. Meehan does well at this course. Definitely, the horse to beat. Global Rose could make a fair bet if prices allow an each-way wager. She is one of the best juveniles in Kelleway's stable and going the right way. Difficult to know what to think about Shaya. It is very unusual that Roger Fell's charge to be so well backed on debut althouth the owner is into betting. Adds an intriguing twist. Kaaba & Kodina would have respectable claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. Perhaps, not the easiest fo races to find the winner. Let the betting settle as it may well detail one or two lesser lights. 

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Sunday, 3 September 2017

Sunday's Racing Tips (3rd September)

2:00 Brighton - 

Noted juveniles: Ghepardo & Mother Of Dragons.  

Note: Ghepardo will appreciate this drop back to sprint distances. Mother Of Dragons is held in high regard and not had much luck in recent outings. Far from disgraced in the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2). She went a stride too fast last time and that race is best ignored. Has decent claims and really needs to win this to progress. 

3:00 Brighton - 

Noted juveniles: Myboyhenry.

Note: Needs to handle a win penalty but the class horse of the field.  

Saturday, 2 September 2017

Saturday Horse Racing Tips

Racing Tips
Saturday 2nd September - 

4:10 Hamilton - 

Noted juveniles: Lethal Lunch.

Note: Lethal Lunch is the sole entry here although a change of stable from Hannon to Clive Cox. As I keep saying, not my favourite race type but the entries do the talking.  



4:50 Hamilton - 

Noted juveniles: Humble Gratitude.

Note: Humble Gratitude is a decent juvenile and connections must be bemused they are still waiting for their first victory. Not much of a price but should go well.  

6:20 Chelmsford - 

Noted juveniles: Billy Dylan is the sole significant entry in this race. Has to shoulder a big weight although the apprentice helps a little. 

6:50 Chelmsford - 

Noted juveniles: Kit Marlow.

Note: Far from the best juvenile in the Johnston stable but a consistent sort at this grade. A trappy-looking race.  

Promoted by www.grouphorse.co.uk 

Wednesday, 30 August 2017

Wednesday's Racing Tips (30th August)

Lady Aurelia
Wednesday 30th August - 

1:50 Catterick - 

Noted juveniles: Cool Spirit.

Note: Short priced but a tough nut to beat. Dropped in class and James Givens will be hoping for a bold show.  

2:00 Musselburgh - 

Noted juveniles: VJ Day. 

Interesting: VJ Day probably hasn't achieved what connection thoughts. The form of his first two races is probably better than it looked and this step up in distance will help hold a more prominent position. Could well hold each-way claims. 

2:10 Lingfield - 

Noted juveniles:  Gavota.

Interesting: The sole significantly entered juvenile trained by Roger Charlton. Won by a short-head on debut and has to defy a penalty.   

5:55 Kempton - 

Noted juveniles: Cosmopolitan Queen

Note: David Elsworth's daughter of Dubawi is has been highly tried and this looks a prime opportunity to win as long as not regressed.

Sunday, 27 August 2017

Sunday's Racing Tips (27th August)

2:10 Goodwood - 

Noted juveniles: Macaque & Ibn Al Emarat.   

Note: This looks a match between these two respected juveniles. Macaque and Ibn Al Emarat have decent entries particularly the latter trained by David Simcock.  

2:55 Yarmouth - 

Noted juveniles: Club Tropicana & Ganayem.

Note: A large field of juveniles. Ganayem is one of few horses entered for Owen Burrows and should be respected. Richard Spencer has given Club Tropicana a significant entry. The only other juvenile to be noted for the stable is Rajasinghe who is exceptional. Not the easiest race to assess.    

3:05 Beverley - 

Noted juveniles: Requinto Dawn & Jive Lady. 

Note: Not my favourite race type, nursery. Jive Lady has been kept busy but from a prime draw is likely to gain an easy lead and may be of interest to in-play traders.   

3:30 Yarmouth - 

Noted juveniles: City Guest & Devil's Cowboy

Note: Another nursery. Looks a trappy affair. 

Friday, 25 August 2017

Friday's Racing Tips (25th August)

Racing Tips
3:15 Newmarket -

Noted juveniles: Al Barg, Al Hajar, Deyaarna, Ode To Autumn & Tommy Boy. 

Interesting: Looks a competitive heat. Al Hajar is sort odds after a spirited debut. Experience and talent should go well but prohibitive odds with a few in opposition. Al Barg will do well to defy the win penalty although a fair juvenile. Saeed bin Suroor has been given fewer two-year-olds this season, but Deyaarna is held in some regard and could put in a bold show.  Ode To Autumn was a touch disappointing at Salisbury. Held in regard by Gosden but not one of the best juveniles. Tommy Boy is a huge price for Tony Carroll at 100/1. He didn't cost much money but the stable is capable and might show a glimmer of ability although in realistic terms would need to be smart which looks unlikely.    

5:45 Goodwood - 

Noted juveniles: Bowditch & Danceteria. 

Interesting: Bowditch is held in some regard by Gosden. Has decent each-way claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. Quite interested in Danceteria. David Menuisier has a couple of good two-year-old in his team and this colt is held in high regard by the stable. Being a less fashionable yard and may have claims at speculative odds. 

5:50 Salisbury -

Noted juveniles: Bombastic.

Note: Bombastic has run two sound races and this looks a fine opportunity.  

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Monday, 14 August 2017

Monday's Racing Tips

Horse Racing Tips
Monday 14th August 

1:45 Ayr - Not too much interest from a betting point of view. Che Bella was given a listed race entry earlier in the season and showed little ability. I am pretty sure connections thought something of the horse but it just didn't happen. She is now stepping up to 7f so it will be intriguing to see if this helps. 

2:00 Ripon - 

Take Shelter has been up and down like a see-saw. This daughter of Harbour Watch showed decent ability on her first couple of starts then disappointed. She showed a little bit of verve at the Yarmouth last time out. Again, connections feel she is capable of winning a race. 

6:10 Windsor - 

One of the more interesting horses of the day. Lansky has received a couple of significant entries for Jeremy Noseda. This son of Dark Angel cost 300,000G and you can pretty much guarantee he has a level of ability.  The only reservation is betting on debutantes. Juveniles are often much better at winning the second start but I suspect this colt will go well today and holds fair claims. Immortal Romance hasn't received any entries as yet but from my info this horse has a very good win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. This horse could well be a danger to Noseda's horse.