Monday 10 October 2016

1:30 Windsor Racing Tips (10th Oct) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A number of two-year-old races today. 

I will try to keep this as concise as possible, which is a word I often struggle with. 

1:30 Windsor - An open race. Definitely need to let the betting settle before taking the plunge as it could well remove one or two out of the frame. Star Stream ran a stormer on debut. He was highly testing in the Convivial at York but disappointed. Punters will be banking on a return to form but whether you want to take 6/4 is a matter of opinion. This son of Acclamation could drift in the betting. 

From a statistical point of view, Vibes has each-way claims. This son of Helmet was relatively fancied on debut at Salisbury and finished a respectable third. 

Another juvenile with claims is Trump's Magic. David Evans should go well is priced 13/2 & less SP. If weak in the betting I would take a watching brief. 

Henry Candy hasn't had a vintage year with his two-year-olds and Rebecca Rocks was priced 7/2 when making her debut at Lingfield.  This daughter of Exceed And Excel ran no race and hasn't been seen since early June, which suggests she may have suffered an injury that day or in the meantime. This bay filly has a wide draw which isn't ideal but if back to her best should go well. I can detail that whatever the price of this juvenile she has a fighting chance of a place and if backed to 13/2 & less SP would be one of the leading lights. 

Founding Father hails from a trainer I hold in high esteem. James Tate knows a decent horse and combined with Saeed Manana make a potent force. This bay colt is a son of Sir Percy was a 40,000G breeze-up buy. Worthy of respect. 

Conclusion: A tricky race. The favourite looked to run an exceptional race on debut and even though disappointing in the Convivial at York, that entry does detail some confidence from Marcus Tregoning. I feel this horse will drift in the betting and that may be needed to tempt punters because the early prices look short. Vibes, Trump's Magic & Rebecca Rocks have chances. The two former will go well if priced 13/2 & less SP. If outside this betting guide I would take a watching brief. Rebecca Rocks is definitely one of the major hopes and even at big prices could hit the frame and if significantly backed. Founding Father is worthy of respect. The betting is key.