Friday 12 May 2017

5:10 Nottingham Racing Tips (12th May) Just Jane Fillies' Novice Median Auction Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Class 5) (2yo)

Not a great deal of time so I will keep this to a few pointers. 

Ten fillies make the lineup.

Enrolment hails from Richard Fahey's stable which can do little wrong at the moment. A well-bred juvenile from Cheveley Park Stud. This handler often goes well with these on debut.

Mick Channon isn't the force of old but Neola showed promise on debut in what looked to be a hot race. The winner looked a talent and the second, Havana Grey, cruised to an impressive victory next time out. The third and fourth have run respectably. This daughter of Foxwedge is out of a decent mare, Effie B. This February foal is compact. She wasn't fancied on debut or given a hard time, sure to improve for this second start and could well hit the frame. From a statistical point of view, she holds respectable claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. 

Quite interested in Under Offer. This daughter of Bated Breath is owned by Saeed Manana. Trainer, James Tate, seems to have benefited from the retirement of Clive Brittain and a very capable handler. This chestnut filly was well backed at Ripon but had to play third fiddle behind Maggies Angel who won easily from Mount Victoria who is a bulky girl. It is difficult to assess the level of form detailed that day, which does make one cautious. This March foal ran on well in the closing stages and will be primed here. The price is a touch short. However, it is a reflection of some hope and I would be very surprised if she isn't in the first three. If drifting a touch or put in an each way double looks a sound bet. 

Scott Dixon has Wings Of The Rock who is owned by The Cool Silk Partnership. I can't remember him training for them before. They are a respected syndicate although they often do better with their breeze-up purchased who seem to be selective. The betting is the best guide. If seriously backed it would bring further hope.

Conclusion: Not the easiest race to assess. I expect Enrolment to go well. Richard Fahey is an exceptional trainer of debutantes but there is always a few ifs and buts about any horse making its racecourse bow to a point that a short price may not offer value. He has done very well with horses owned by Cheveley Park Stud which gives greater hope. Neola may look to need improvement but could have claims if one or two of the debutantes disappoint. The form of that first start is decent enough although beaten by the winner by some way. Clearly, this filly needs to progress from that start but should. If priced 13/2 & less would hold each-way claims. Under Offer would be of great interest if drifting to an each-way price. It would have to drift so much it might be a concern like a leg had fallen off going to start. Looks the type to put in an each-way double.Wings Of The Rock could figure if seriously backed.