Tuesday 4 July 2017

6:40 Chepstow 2YO Racing Tips (4th July) EBF Stallions Novice Stakes

Airshow is held in fair regard by Rod Millman. I mentioned this son of Showcasing last time out over course and distance. This April foal was entered for the Brocklesby although made his debut at Leicester where he ran well after a slow start to finish a respectable third. There was an issue second start because the stable expected a bold show. He disappointed. Although returning 12/1 last time out over course and distance, there was money for this juvenile on exchanges after he drifted to almost ridiculous odds and backed with real verve in a matter of minutes. Viewers of ATR may have heard the presenter chatting with Roger Charlton that Millman likes his horse. I can imagine Millman was disappointed they didn't get that win although they were clearly defeated by a fair juvenile in Kloster. I can see Airshow running well and has each-way claims. 

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Barraquero ran well on debut and looks a tough nut to crack although will start at short odds. 

Roger Charlton fields Dream Prospect who was relatively fancied on debut at Sandown. That was over 5f and this son of Invincible Spirit ran well enough after dwelling at the start. Sandown is a difficult course to shine on debut. Better should be expected over this extra furlong. From a statistical point of view, this horse has decent win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. 

Charles Hills has a few talents this season. *Expecting, a son of Bated Breath, is a good-looking colt. He ran well on debut over 6f at Windsor when a big price. He was short of room in the closing stages but ran well. Dropped to the minimum trip at the same course on his second start, he ran a sound race to be outpointed in the closing stage after leading for most. There were a few fair juveniles in that race and it was no disappointment to lose by less than two lengths. Expecting steps back up in distance which shouldn't be a problem although he is a lively type who looks a touch temperamental and may have a tendency to pull now stepping back up in trip. 

Liva ran at Newbury on debut. That race has been franked by many horses and he has not been seen for well over one month. 

Henry Candy has been very quiet this two-year-old season with a couple of horses to hit the track. Sarstedt is a son of Sixties Icon and part owned by Candy and David Altham. A relatively cheap yearling purchase at just £16,000. The betting is the best guide. If priced 13/2 & less SP would be of interest. 

Conclusion: Just one horse with a significant entry and that is Airshow. I can see Millman's juvenile going well and has fair each-way claims. He is a straightforward horse who has plenty of pace and will travel well if not slightly prone to a good horse at the finish. I would hope he drifts in the betting which would give a little more value. I think Airshow has sound claims but this looks a competitive race which makes me feel that something will prove better.