Thursday 6 July 2017

Thursday's Racing Tips (6th July)

1:50 Yarmouth - 

A quick look at these. Gotti is held in some regard by Jeremy Noseda (as we said before his debut) and proved victorious at Windsor last time out over 5f. This son of More Than Ready is a lazy beast, but this extra yardage should see him settle a little easier in the first few furlongs. Carrying a win penalty will make this much harder. His only hope is finding marked improvement for this sixth furlong but I would need each-way odds to bet on this horse. 

Hey Gaman is held in high regard by James Tate and been well entered up. He was narrowly foiled on debut at Leicester and then pretty fancied in the betting for the Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) at Royal Ascot. This son of New Approach was much too keen and ruined any chance. He is a fair juvenile and it will take a decent horse to beat him. If drifting to each-way prices I'd but interested. 

Hugo Palmer usually has an ace up his sleeve. Arbalet hasn't received any significant entries as yet but odds-on to do so sooner rather than later. This son of Dark Angel cost 370,000E as a foal. The stable's juveniles go very well on their second start. If this colt hadn't been slow away on debut at York, he would have most likely won. 

City Guest looked pedestrian on his first two starts before showing promise third time out at Brighton when hitting the frame at 66/1. He had little hope when racing at Royal Ascot towards the back of the field in the Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race). This extra furlong should help. 

Conclusion: A competitive heat. Arbalet will take some beating but will need to be a fair juvenile to waltz past Hey Gaman. Gotti has won a race which most horses do not. He is a lazy type and will enjoy this extra furlong. I do have slight reservations that he isn't up to the standard of the two mentioned and with the win penalty it could be a thunderous burden. I definitely wouldn't back this horse unless an each-way price and to be honest even if that was the case I feel he needs to find a marked improvement to defy the weight. City Guest looks to have his work cut out and best watched. The only bet I would feel optimistic about is if Hey Gaman touched each-way odds. 

NR: City Guest 

2:30 Haydock -

Just the one significantly entered two-year-old here. Kevin Ryan has Vj Day after being a beaten favourite at York on debut. This son of War Front has to contend with a couple of winners although they have to shoulder a win penalty. On entries, this $250,000 yearling purchase looks to be one of the trainers better juveniles. This brown colt will need to go well to justify future plans.