Tuesday, 12 June 2018

Outsider Alert - Warrior Display 50/1 (12th June)

Betting on the outsider
When to bet or not that is the question. Well it can be. However, when you see an outsider running you have to be just as brave not to bet as putting your hard-earned cash on the line. 

How do I mean?

Well. how many times have you looked at a big priced horses and fancied its chance but the odds were so big you were put off. ''Surely it can't win at 50/1?'' You're probably right, that it is unlikely. However, as we say, the favourite doesn't always win! Sometime crazy things happen. 

I must admit in my time I have missed a good number of huge priced winners. In fact, they stick in my mind as much as those big wins. A few would have been my biggest wins. I've had horses win on the exchange at 200/1+ and somehow - thinking I was too clever - let them go by. A couple trained by Peter Winkworth almost bring me tears. All I can say is that I did take something valuable from those experiences. Even if it seem ''bloody unlikely,'' stick a few quid on so you don't look and feel like a complete idiot come the finishing line. 

2:00 Salisbury - 

A big old field. A couple of winners. Not earmarked for the Gain Railway Stakes (Group 2), Ireland. Certain Lad is obviously held in high regard. Similarly, Urban Icon won with plenty in hand at Windsor. A very handsome horse trained by Richard Hannon. A cracking purchase at £23,000. 

Then we have a few form horses worthy of interest. Indian Viceroy ran a storming race second start at Leicester. I wouldn't be surprised to see Hughie Morrison's charge hit the frame. 

Even Keel was beaten by Urban Icon on debut but finished like a scolded cat. 

And then we have the outsider with a chance! Perhaps. Stan Moore doesn't have many debut winners and this chatter here may be all he needs to keen the win percentage down. So why the interest in Warrior Display? This son of Dandy Man cost £20,000 at the breeze-up sales and will need to be pretty smart against this field. The only hope is that Moore gave this Irish bred a Woodcote Stakes entry. It could be a telling sign this horse has a glimmer of ability. Whether it is enough to hit the frame only time will tell. 

The question is this. Do you want to let a big price winner pass by? It may finish last and the £10 in your pocket has a smile on its face. But imagine the look on yours if you don't and it costs you a grand!