Wednesday 17 April 2019

Betty's Hope Misses the Gin...

A couple of two-year-old horse races at Beverley, both restricted auction stakes which often go to form horses. 

The two divisions are interesting although not the easiest of races to consider for betting opportunities. 

2:15 Beverley - 

Rod Millman has an interesting juvenile taking part over this 5f sprint in the shape of Betty's Hope, a daughter of Anjaal a bargain buy at just £3,000. This bay filly was no match for Archie Watson's Lady Kermit who showed no signs of greenness at Kempton a couple of weeks back. At this time of year, it is difficult to assess form. The angle here is that Millman's two-year-olds on their second start often go very well. The downside is that they either win or finish unplaced, so if betting, it is probably wise to go for a straight win rather than eachway. In addition, this January foal has a plum draw in stall one. Priced about 7/2, has claims although I will be taking a watching brief unless drifting to bigger odds. 

2:50 Beverley - 

This second division is worth a second look. Karl Burke is a fantastic trainer and his two-year-olds are worthy of respect on their second start. Gin Gembre made his debut at Windsor when finishing a credible fourth of nine. There was some money for this son of Dandy Man, which adds to the idea this February foal has an element of ability. This 4,500 euro foal increased in price at the yearling sales (24,000). It is difficult to assess the form of that race although the winner, Chasanda, trained by David Evans, looks a fair filly beating mostly a field of colts. I was left with the impression that Gim Gembre was pretty fit for his debut and ridden with some gusto. Today's race is pretty weak being pretty restrictive, which, as mentioned, favours, form horses. With valuable racecourse experience and a good draw, this looks a fine opportunity. The price doesn't leave much meat on the bone. I think Gin Gembre has very good claims here but the price would need to drift to tempt me to put my hand in my pocket.